12/17 VIP Picks

1-1 last night but 5-1 on the week and the only reason we missed our parlay was because Oklahoma State blew an 8 point lead in the final 2 minutes and we just needed them to win. Still 5-1 on the week with the selection of games we have had to bet on the last few days is phenomenal. Hands down. Now we have 5 straight days of football and it’s time to GO FOR IT! LFG!!

NFL:

8:20 EST

Teaser

Chargers (+9.5) / Over (46) – The last time these two teams played was in early November and the Raiders won that game 31-26. Let’s start with the Chargers +9 portion of this teaser. Sure they have 9 losses on the season but they have covered +9 in 7 of those 9 losses. That includes games against the Chiefs, Bucs, Saints, Dolphins, & this Raiders team they will play tonight. The Chargers went into the half with the lead the last time these two played but missed a 2 point conversion to tie the game in the 4th and that took the wind out of their sails. The Raiders are just 2-3 since the last time these two teams met and had ugly losses to the Falcons (who the Chargers just beat) and the Colts. The Raiders are also missing 4 starters on their defense tonight due to injury. I expect the Chargers to keep this one within 9. As for the over, this is the highest over of the week so teasing it down to 48 makes it more enticing. 12 of the Raiders 13 games have gone over 48 and 7 of the Chargers last 10 games have gone over 48. These two teams combined for 57 points in the first game so look for plenty of scoring tonight.

8:20 EST

Player Prop

Keenan Allen To Score a Touchdown (Even) – We are 6-0 on player to score TD props this season. Keenan Allen has been scoring touchdowns in 6 of his last 7 games and the only game he didn’t was when the Chargers were shut out against the Patriots. Looking back to the first matchup against this Raiders #25 ranked passing defense, Allen had 9 catches for 103 yards and a touchdown. Reports say he’s playing tonight and he should have plenty of opportunities to find pay dirt!

8:20 EST

Player Prop

Austin Ekeler Total Receptions Over (5.5) – Ekeler was limited in practice this week but it sounds like he’s going to play tonight and he’s going to play a big part in the Chargers offense. As far as this receptions prop goes, he has been targeted 9+ times in each of his last 3 games. He was targeted 9 times and had 9 receptions last week. The Raiders defense has given up the 3rd most fantasy points to running backs this season so look for him to have a big game as long as he plays. It will be announced by 7 pm est if he’s out so you can hold off on locking this one in if you feel better doing that but it will be no actioned if he doesn’t play anyway.

8:20 EST

Player Prop

Justin Herbert Total Touchdown Passes Over (1.5) – Drinking the juice on this one because Herbert has thrown 2+ touchdown passes in 8 of his last 10 games (80% trend). That includes the game against the Raiders where he threw for 326 yards and 2 touchdowns back in November. The Raiders defense has allowed 8 of the 13 opposing QBs to throw for 2+ touchdowns on them this season (61% trend). Drink the juice and take the over on 1.5 TDs for Herbert tonight against this #25 ranked Raiders passing defense.