2/2 SuperBowl Sunday Picks

The day we have all been waiting for since September is finally here, Super Bowl Sunday! There are so many different things to bet on during this game. You all know I usually preach relying heavily on stats and analytics but the Super Bowl is once a year so it’s ok to take some bets “for fun” because there are a lot out there that are meant to be “fun” bets. We will start with our analytics driven picks and we will work our way through the prop bet list. Enjoy the game!!

NFL:

Straight Play:

Chiefs (-1.5) – JACKHAMMER – How can you bet against the Chiefs at this point? Sure they have got down in both of their playoff games but look what they have done after that. The offense is unstoppable. The 49ers defense is good but don‘t forget that they allowed 46 points to the Saints earlier this season. Another key factor is that 2 of the 3 49ers losses this season came against mobile quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson. Pat Mahomes is a step above those guys and this 49ers defense will struggle to slow him down. As for the 49ers, they only threw the ball 8 times in the NFC Championship. That won’t work against this high powered Chiefs team. The Chiefs defense has stepped it up in key spots this post season. They are also holding opposing running backs to just 2.5 yards after contact per carry and don’t forget they went against the best running back in that category Derrick Henry. The Chiefs will dictate the pace of this game and I see this one turning into a shootout. It’s impossible to bet against the Chiefs in a shootout. Go Chiefs!

Teaser:

Chiefs (+4.5) / Over (48.5) – This one is my most confident play of the day. I expect this game to be high scoring and the Chiefs could even lose by a field goal and we would still cash as long as it goes over 49.5. The 49ers and the Chiefs were the #2 and #3 ranked offenses in the league both averaging 30 points per game in the regular season. There’s a lot of hype around the 49ers defense but they gave up 46 points against the #5 offensive ranked Saints earlier this season. The 49ers also lost to the #1 offensive ranked Ravens and only held them to 20 points because it was pouring. Then there’s the Chiefs who have shown their explosive offense in their first two playoff games scoring 51 in 3 quarters and then 35 in the AFC Championship. Pat Mahomes creates unbelievable plays and it’s been fun to watch. As you can see in the pick above, I’m confident in the Chiefs offense to win this game outright so getting +4.5 is an even safer play.

Prop Bets:

Total Touchdowns in the game – Over (5.5)

Chiefs 1st Quarter Points – Over (3.5)

Chiefs – Will they score a touchdown in the 4th quarter? – Yes

Patrick Mahomes – Will he win SuperBowl MVP – Yes (+110)

Will Travis Kelce score a touchdown? Yes (11/10)

Fun Bets: (bet less on these because they are literally wild guesses for fun.)

Coin Toss – Tails

Gatorade Bath – Red/Pink (+300) – Both teams are red so let’s take our chance with Red!

Who Will Have More Points – Zion Williamson Full Game or Chiefs + 49ers- First Half (-4.5) – Chiefs + 49ers First Half (-4.5) – Yes, this is a real prop on Sportsbook.ag