Dolphins @ Steelers (-11.5) O/U 47
Well where should I start? I think the Dolphins are getting too many points in this game. I know that Tannehill will not be playing today but I still think the Dolphins are getting too many points. Jay Ajayi ran for 204 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Steelers on October 16 when the Dolphins beat the Steelers 30-15. One of those games where Pittsburg just didn’t get it done this year. What do I think the gameplan is today? Feed Ajayi. Do I think the Dolphins are going to win this game? Probably not! Do I think that they will cover the 11.5? Abso fucking lutely. Take the Dolphins with the points – it’s easy money. 52% of the action is on the Dolphins to cover which kind of sketches me out but Vegas filled their pockets up last night with the Seahawks blowing out the Lions when 61% of the money was on the Lions. I like the Dolphins to cover in this one and I like any sort of Ajayi player prop – over! I’m not leaning one way or the other for the over under – I would stay away.
Giants @ Packers (-5.5) O/U 46
Giants. Give me the Giants. I hate the Giants and I say give me the Giants! The only thing that sketches me out about this one is that 57% of the money is on the Giants and this one is the prime time game of the day. The way the action lies would make me want to hop on the Packers but I think the Giants will keep this one close and have a chance to take it in the 4th quarter. I’m playing Giants moneyline for what it’s worth! WHEN Eli does manage to make it into the playoffs he plays like an ELITE quarterback – notice I said when he makes it to the playoffs. I’m not a fan of over under in this game but if I had a gun to my head I would take the over.
The play of the day to avoid any bullshit/ fixes is teasing the Dolphins to (+17.5) and the Giants to (+11.5). I never guarantee picks because anything can happen but I am going to give this teaser a 90% chance of hitting…..I really don’t see it not hitting.
Penguins/Lightning UNDER 6 – weird line and I like the odds of this to go under.
All three of these are very strong plays today due to the matchups.