I’ve decided that today I will be posting the same post on the free blog that is posted on the VIP blog. It’s the season of giving so you all deserve a taste of what the VIP guys get on a daily basis. The number of basketballs or footballs by each pick is how confident I am in each pick on a scale of 0-5.
Another winning day yesterday! 2-0 on hockey thanks to the Bruins and CAPS. Lebron came up short to the Bucks. I will take 2-1 any day. Let’s get to tonight’s picks.
Pistons ML (-105) 5x basketballs – Pistons didn’t play yesterday right? There are no injured players sitting out for the Pistons tonight right? As of right now, no. This spread seems way too good to be true so I would wait until we get closer to game time just in case the Pistons announce that a player or players are out tonight. I wouldn’t see why anyone would be out when they had two days off but I’d wait to lock it in just to be safe. Pistons have won their last three games and two of the three were on the road. Dallas has lost 4 of their last 5. However, Dallas’ opponents in the last five are much better teams than the Pistons last 3. Regardless of the last 5 games, the Pistons are a better team than the Mavs and the spread is (+1). You can take the (+1) at (-110) odds or the moneyline at (-105) odds so it makes sense (literally cents to just take the moneyline. If there are no players out for the Pistons an hour before tip off, I’ll be hammering this one.
Raptors (-2) 5x basketballs – Another one that I’ll wait until later to pull the trigger but I don’t see how the spread is only 2 in this game. The Raptors have been playing really good basketball this season and they are hot right now. Dominating shitty teams (as they should) in their last 4 out of 5 games. The only loss came to the Clippers and it was a road back to back (understandable). Not enough to convince you yet? The Raptors are 9-1 in their last 10 games. They will be on the road tonight but they have had a couple days off and they will be taking on the Hornets who are 3-7 in their last 10. 2 point spread? Same as the Pistons game, if there are no injuries about an hour before the game here's a look at what I'll be doing:
2 Team TEASER:
Pacers (even) / Celtics (-3.5) 5x basketballs – Let’s start with the Pacers. They have lost 3 of their last 5 but they looked really good in the second half against the Celtics the other night. They will be taking on the 7-23 Hawks who have lost 4 of their last 5. The straight up spread is (-4) but if you play it in a teaser you can get the Pacers at (0) – sign me up. As for the Celtics – THESE MOTHAFUCKAS OUT HERE LOOKIN FOR REVEEEEENGE! The Heat snapped their winning streak earlier this season in Miami and I can bet that the Celtics are out for revenge tonight at The Garden. Straight up spread is (-7.5) but you can tease it down to (-3.5) – so do it. This is a really good looking teaser.
DXL FRISCO BOWL – Louisiana Tech / SMU – so as you guys know, I like to look at common opponents and results as part of my breakdowns for College Football. A lot of bowl matchups consist of teams that don’t have many or any common opponents. I spy with my little eye a common opponent in this one. LA Tech lost a nail biter to North Texas 24-23 in week 9. SMU absolutely rolled over North Texas 54-32 in week 2. I think you can see where this one is headed already. A couple losses that catch my eye for both teams is LA Tech’s 17-16 loss to South Carolina and SMU hanging around with UCF losing 31-24. Over under is set at (71.5) in this one and the spread is SMU (-4). SMU is scoring 40 points scored per game and allowing 35.5 points a game. LA Tech is scoring 28.8 points a game and allowing 26.7 points per game. The problem I have with taking the over in this one is that SMU has held opponents of similar caliber to LA Tech to scores in the 20s this season. LA Tech hasn’t necessarily lit up the scoreboard this season either. One guarantee that I do have is that this SMU offense is going to score points. I honestly don’t think the LA Tech offense will be able to keep up with them.
Pick – SMU (-4) – 5x footballs
Oh and for you guys who were looking for a parlay on the free blog today – if you play all these picks: SMU (-4) / Pistons ML / Pacers ML / Raptors (-2) / Celtics ML it pays about 13-1 odds.