MORNING! I’m not usually in a good mood after going 0-3 but there’s a SOLID slate of games today so I’m pretty excited for a big day. Last night the projected #1 QB in the NFL draft only could score one touchdown so that burnt our football teaser. Devils lost in overtime and the Blues came up short at the end. Today’s a new day and there’s a lot of opportunity for us today. To the picks.
I think Mississippi State (+6.5) is a lot of points but I don’t have any confidence in betting them today because all the coaches are gone and they will have a Freshman quarterback playing today. Tempting to jump on it but I’m STAYING away from this one.
Memphis (-4) 5x footballs – I guess you could say that this one will be offense (Memphis) against defense (Iowa State). One, I like the matchup that Memphis has today with Iowa State and two, I love that fact that Memphis will be playing a home game. They are undefeated at home this season where they are averaging 50 points a game. There will also be a fucking tiger on the sideline. A little more on the matchup – Iowa State has some big time eye popping wins against #3 Oklahoma and #4 TCU. However, I look at this Memphis offense and they play at an up tempo pace similar to the Oklahoma State offense that beat this Iowa State team 49-42. The over under is set at 68.5 and that may seem like a lot but Memphis has covered that themselves twice this year. I do like the over in this one as well because Memphis is going to push the pace of this one and Iowa State will need to keep up with them if they want to have a chance. 54% of the money is on Iowa State in this one, I love the sound of that.
Penn State / Washington OVER (54.5) 4x footballs – Both of these teams have what it takes to light up the scoreboard and that’s what I think will happen this afternoon in the Playstation Fiesta Bowl. 7 of Penn State’s 12 games have gone over 54.5. 5 of Washington’s 12 games have gone over 54.5 but their defense has held some offenses to some low scores. Penn State has a better offense than Arizona State, Oregon State, Cal, Fresno State, ect. I like this game to have a lot of scoring and go over (54.5). I would caution against betting on Penn State at 73% of the money is on them to cover….crazy.
Miami MONEYLINE (+195) 5x footballs – Miami will be playing at home tonight in their own stadium for the Orange Bowl. That’s huge to be playing in front of your own fans in a bowl game. That’s good because you might think that Miami would have a let down game after getting blown the fuck out by Clemson and not getting into the playoff. I think they will TURN UP tonight in front of their own fans and get this win against Wisconsin. Speaking of a let down game, that’s exactly what I think this will be for Wisconsin. They go undefeated all year and have a chance to get into the playoff, all the needed to do was beat Ohio State. ANDDDDDDDDDDD they lost. Miami better get the fucking turnover chain ready tonight because Wisconsin’s quarterback Alex Hornibrook is top 5 in the nation when it comes to interceptions thrown (15). Expect Miami to force turnovers and as long as they can take advantage of them, expect Miami to win this ball game. Oranges for everybody! We will need them for our screwdrivers, tequila sunrises, and mimosas. 2-1 payout for a team playing a home game with a great defense.
Bruins ML 6x hockey sticks – if you guys like free money, this is the play of the day. The Bruins beat this same Senators team 5-1 three days ago. Granted that was at The Garden and they will be playing in Ottawa tonight but I really don’t think that’s a factor here. The B’s will be looking to bounce back tonight after their 5 game win streak was snapped with Khudobin in net against the Capitals on Thursday. Rask will be in net tonight and look for the Bs to take this one tonight. The Sens played last night, they were home but it still sets up a back to back for them.
Cavs (-3.5) 5x basketballs – The Cavs will be in Utah tonight to take on the Jazz who have lost 10 out of their last 12 games. This is a really good spot to take the Cavs who have been off since Wednesday and are looking to get a win tonight so they don’t go 0-3 on their road trip out west. Fixed out of a game on Christmas Day against the Warriors and a let down game on Wednesday against the Kings. Look for the Cavs to put together a strong game tonight and they shouldn’t have any problem covering the (-3.5) against the Kings.
Texas A&M ML (-110) 5x basketballs – Texas A&M will be taking on Alabama tonight and even though I think the Tide will be rolling on this long New Year’s weekend, I don’t think it will be tonight, it will be Monday night. Texas A&M is currently ranked 5th in the country and they are a legit team this year. Their one loss came in a game with a controversial NO CALL, of course. Other than that game, they have looked great all year. They have played two top 25 teams so far this season and they beat them both by double digits. Bama has only played one ranked team this season and they lost. I like Texas A&M in this matchup tonight and I have no idea how this game is a pick em. #VALUE
Boston College (+15.5) 4x basektballs – Boston College hasn’t lost a game in over a month. I’m going to go ahead and say that they will lost to Virginia today but I do think that they will cover the 15.5 point spread. They knocked off #1 Duke a few weeks ago and they are looking to compete in the ACC this year. I think 15 is a lot of points for this match up today against a Virginia team who has looked good this season but lost their only game against a ranked opponent.