3/31 VIP Picks


Straight picks go 4-1 last night and we go 6-4 overall with a couple parlays that the Stros/Cubs spoiled. Overall, if you put $100 bucks on all of the picks last night, you would have profited $195. If you bet $100 on every pick from the first two days of MLB, you’d be up $348. I also want to be clear on something with you guys, as far as betting strategy, I want you to always risk your standard unit on moneyline plays, don’t risk more to win your unit but risk your unit to win whatever the value is.

Example: moneyline is (-150)

Risk $100 to win $67

DONT risk $150 to win $100

That avoids you from getting burnt from any big moneylines and maximizes your profit. 

On to today!

MLB:

Mets / Cardinals No runs in the first ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - deGrom has held the top of the Cardinals lineup in check holding them to a .259 avg in 54 at bats. The only eye opening is that Fowler, Ozuna, and Carpenter have gone deep against him before. However, 3 homeruns in 54 at bats isn’t that scary. This bet is really no runs in the top of the first because when Wachovia comes out in the bottom of the first, there will not be a run. The top of the Mets lineup is 2-35 (.057) against Wacha with 15 strikeouts...

Cubs (Darvish) (-1.5) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - like I said yesterday, we don’t usually bet foreign but the duck sauce tasted great last night when Tanaka got us a win. I’m expecting Darvish to absolutely dominate today. He’s held the Marlins to a .118 in a small sample size (2-17). The Cubs have a .412 avg (7-17) against Despaigne. Look for the trends to continue today and this should be a blow out.

Brewers (Suter) (-125) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - the Brew Crew have a .382 avg against Perdomo in 55 career at bats. I’m really not sure how the line is only (-125) in this one but I’ll fucking take it.

DBacks (Greinke) (-155) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - Greinke was battling a groin injury this spring but he was able to finish strong with a 6 inning scoreless outing against the Indians on Monday. He’s ready to go today and this Rockies lineup has seen a lot of him. The first two games between these two clubs have seen a lot of runs scored. I’m hoping Greinke shows up and gives his team a shot to win. His team owns a .368 avg & .645 slg% against Marquez in 76 at bats so they should be able to score 5+ runs again.

Underdog lean:

Rangers ⚾️⚾️⚾️ - this isn’t just because the Stros fucked us up last night! The Rangers lineup owns a .311 avg in 61 at bats against McCullers. I know it’s an intimidating thought to be betting against this Astros lineup but Matt Moore has held them to a .216 avg in 37 at bats. Rangers are currently (+167) on the moneyline.

NHL:

Blue Jackets / Devils (+103) 🏒🏒🏒🏒🏒 - The moneylines are too big to play these two individually but when you pair them together for a parlay, you get (+103) odds. I’ll take that all day and this is my play of the day. Both of these teams are playing for playoff spots and they are facing weak opponents. This one is not going to lose. 

NCAA FINAL FOUR:

Villanova / Michigan moneyline parlay (-102) 🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀 - even money for the two better teams. There have been upsets and crazy things have happened all tournament but tonight, I think the two better teams pull away and advance to the championship Monday night. I told you guys to take Michigan to win the title last weekend at 7-1 odds, you can still get it at just under 3-1 odds today. Their defense will be overwhelming for Loyola tonight and their defense will get to Nova on Monday.

#VIP