4/11 VIP Picks


MLB:

Nats / Braves Over (8.5) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - deja vu? Listen, last night was a bad fucking beat. Both teams were a combined 3-14 with runners in scoring position. That’s an absolute joke. Anyways, this matchup is even better and juicier today. A.J. Cole will start for the Nationals. Anyone remember what he did in his last start. Oh yeah, he lost to the Braves. What else? Oh yeah, he gave up 10 earned runs in 3.2 innings. 10 fucking earned runs!! To say that this Braves lineup is confident going into today’s game against Cole would be an understatement. .533 avg 1.100 slg% in 33 at bats. How about the Nats starting lineup against McCarthy? .326 avg in 46 at bats. It’s a Day game so both lineups will be seeing the ball well. I’ve got the over in this one.

Rockies (Marquez) (-155) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - the Rockies aren’t getting swept by the Padres at home right, the world hasn’t come to that yet. Perdomo is starting for the Padres and the Rockies starting lineup will come into this one with a .397 avg & .600 slg% in 78 at bats against him. Betting against the Padres is a curse that goes back to last season but today, we break the curse. C’mon Rockies! @sparkalones

Indians (Carrasco) (-1.5 -130) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - the Indians have been playing some low scoring games but I think the bats break out today against Jordan Zimmerman who the starting lineup has a .397 avg & .794 slg% against in 68 at bats. Carrasco will get the ball for the Tribe and he’s held the Tigers lineup to a .258 avg in 182 at bats. Run line this if you’re playing a straight bet, moneyline if you’re playing a parlay.

Blue Jays (Estrada) (Even) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - the Jays will be going for the sweep today and I think they will get it. Marco Estrada will be on the mound for them and he has held the Orioles lineup to a .188 avg in 149 at bats with 47 strikeouts, “CAPTURING C!” That’s domination. The Jays lineup will be going up against Kevin Gausman who they have a .316 avg & .462 slg% against in 117 at bats. The Jays should be able to run away with this one like the first game of this series.

Yankees (Tanaka) (-105) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - for those of you who don’t know, I’m a Boston fan. I always preach to bet on where the money is at, even if you bet against your own team. The Yankees lineup has absolutely T’d off against David Price in the past and I think that trend will continue tonight. They have a .350 avg in 120 at bats against Price. Gary Sanchez has 4 career homeruns against Price. The Red Sox had a ton of success last night at the plate but that’ll change tonight when they take on Tanaka who has held them to a career .237 avg in 152 at bats. So I’ll say it - “REVERSE PRICE CHECK!”

Cubs (Lester) (-185) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - the Cubs have struggled a bit to start the season. They will be without Anthony Rizzo due to a back injury but I still like them tonight. Their starting lineup has a .424 avg in 33 at bats against Brault. Brault is one of those guys who the Pirates don’t know if he’s a starter or reliever. I did stumble upon some interesting information this morning. Over the last two seasons, here are his outings AT Wrigley Field: 8/29/16 - 4 innings pitched, 3 runs allowed, 8-7 loss. 8/28/17 - 2 innings pitched, 3 runs, 6-1 loss, 8/30/17 - 1 inning pitched, 4 runs, 17-3 loss. His best outting of them all came in Pittsburg though on 9/26/16 where he pitched 1.2 innings and allowed 7 runs in a 12-2 loss. That was a joke! He has struggled against the players making up the Cubs lineup tonight. The Cubs will have Lester going and he’s held the Pirates lineup to a .263 avg in 114 at bats. 

NHL PLAYOFFS:

Flyers / Penguins OVER (6)

JACKHAMMER 🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨

🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

Here we go, the first ever Jackhammer play and for good reason. All 4 games between these two teams this season went over or pushed 6. 5-4, 5-1, 5-2, and 5-4. To show the trends dating back to 2016, 8 of the last 10 games between these two teams have gone over or pushed at 6. The Flyers went over in 7 of their last 10 games of the regular season. The Penguins went over in 7 of their last 10 regular season games. Do I need to keep going? That’s about all I’ve got but everything says over in this one. Get out the fucking jackhammer boys!


Jets ML 🏒🏒🏒🏒🏒 - J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS!! Pretty sure this is my first time writing this is a non mocking fashion, but these Jets are actually REALLY good! Jets are 9-1 in there last 10 and have been scoring the puck at will. How are the Wild coming into the playoffs? NOT GREAT! After the loss of Suter for the season, they just haven’t been the same team especially defensively. The Jets crowd will be ROCKING tonight I promise you that. Ride the wave!

NBA:

Raptors ML! 🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀 - (+165) and listed as a huge underdog. That makes zero sense to me. Maybe Vegas book makers think the Raptors are going to rest tonight and let the Heat win? Maybe the Vegas book makers think that the Raptors would rather lose tonight and play the Wizards in the first round than win tonight and play the Heat in the first round? Their bad! Anyone out there who thinks the Wizards are an easier matchup than the Heat must be eating some really strong edibles. The Raptors have won 4 of their last 5 and they haven’t been close. The Heat just got destroyed by the Thunder the other night when we bet on OKC. Take advantage of this situation, (+165)!

#VIP