4/21 VIP Picks
Morning! We get back to winning with a 3-2 night last night thanks to some great baseball plays. BOTH of our JACKHAMMER plays go down in shocking fashion. New rule, jackhammer plays can no longer be parlays, straight bets only. With a target of 80% high percentage plays, we can’t be parlaying. I’m hanging up the jackhammer in the garage for a few days. Happy fucking Saturday and we are DUE for a BIG day. LETS. FUCKIN. GO.
MLB:
Cardinals (-1.5) (Martinez) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - we played the Cardinals last night against this Reds team and today is an even better matchup. Martinez has held this Reds lineup to a .237 avg in 135 at bats. Homer Bailey is pitching for the Reds, remember when he was considered, “the next big thing?” Lol. The Cardinals have a white hot .397 avg and .630 slg% against him in 145 at bats.
Cubs (Darvish) (-140) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - The Cubs brought the bats to Colorado and they scored 16 runs last night. They are definitely a candidate to score double digit runs again today when they take on Tyler Anderson who they have a .429 avg against in a small sample size. Darvish gets the start for the Cubbies and he’s gotta earn his contract at some point, right? He’s held this Rockies lineup to a .162 avg in 37 at bats with 18 strikeouts. Let’s go Cubs!
Red Sox (Sale) (-162) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - The Red Sox are the hottest team in the league right now. They got down 3-0 in the first last night and bounced back for a 7-3 win. Tonight, Mr Sale takes the mound against this A’s lineup who he has held to a .224 avg in 58 at bats with 17 strikeouts. The Sox bats should stay HOT against Manaea who they have a .306 avg and .722 avg against in 36 at bats. Mookie and Hanley have both taken him deep twice. Sale will get the run support he needs tonight.
Angels (Richards) (-200) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - this moneyline will probably start dropping very quickly this morning. If so, I’m confident in the run line (-1.5) and let me tell you why. The Angels have won and covered the (-1.5) in Garrett Richards last three starts. Scores in those three games - 13-2, 8-3, & 5-3. The Giants will have a tough time with him tonight because only three players in their lineup have seen him before. The Angels will be looking to end a four game losing streak tonight. Their lineup will face Derek Holland and that’s just the guy that they want to see. They are hitting .300 against him in 137 at bats. Albert Pujols and Mike Trout have 7 homeruns combined against him. Hammer the ML if you are scared of the spread but like I said, I like both options tonight in the moneyline and run line.
Diamondbacks (Godley) (-175) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - The DBacks will get Clayton Richard tonight and boy do they love them some Clayton Richard, especially at home. Last year in his starts in Arizona, Richard allowed 6 and 4 earned runs. The DBacks own him and have a .362 avg in 80 at bats against him. Pitching for the DBacks will be Zach Godley who has held the Padres lineup to a .268 avg in 56 at bats.
NHL:
Bruins ML 🏒🏒🏒🏒🏒 - it ends tonight. The Bruins absolutely dominated the Leafs in the first two games of this series that took place in Boston. Last Saturday night was a 7-3 romping. Toronto took Game Three and had some hope until the Bruins took Game Four. Tonight they step on their fucking throats and end this series. Unlike the Penguins, the Bruins aren’t going to let a team hang around. The Garden will be ROCKING on a Saturday night and I expect the Bruins to close this thing out tonight.
Lightning (-1.5) 🏒🏒🏒🏒 - The Lightning have covered the (-1.5) in all three of their wins in this series. Two of those took place in Tampa where tonight’s game will be played. In these games, the Lightning have jumped out to early leads and haven’t looked back. My buddy is a manager at the hotel that the Devils are staying at and he told me he heard two players talking last night about how they had already booked a trip to Cancun and were leaving tomorrow (as in Sunday). Hearing that makes me think these guys don’t think they have a chance in Tampa tonight. Let’s go Bolts!
NBA:
2 team teaser:
Rockets (-1.5) / Thunder (+8.5) 🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀 - I’m loving this play. The Thunder split the first two games with the Jazz. They’ll play the first one on the road tonight but they should be in it right until the end. If they don’t win this game outright, I don’t see how they don’t cover the (+8.5). The Rockets are just the better team than the TWolves. Yes, it’s that simple. Minnesota played them tough in the first game but Game Two was a better representation of how these two teams stack up when Houston got a 20 point win. You’re asking the Rockets to cover the tease at (-1.5)? Sure!
NBA fun fact: The total scores for the first three games of this series between the Heat and Sixers have been 236, 216, & 233. The over under is set at 215 for tonight. Not an official pick, just a few facts for you. Do what you want with them.