4/25 VIP Picks


Tough night last night and that jackhammer was my most confident jackhammer of them all. Both teams came out cold and stayed that way all night. It seemed like every stat they put up on the broadcast was another 4 minutes of no field goals. The last two days of picks have been dog shit, I can admit that. We have a huge slate of games today and the matchups we have present great opportunity for a huge bounce back day and night!

MLB:

Mariners (Hernandez) (-155) - ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - Felix isn’t the King that he once was but he’s still a quality starting pitcher. He’s only allowed 2 earned runs in each of his last two starts. Today he takes on the White Sox  lineup who he has held to a .250 avg in 32 at bats. Not eye popping but he will be good enough today based on the projected run support he should get. The Mariners get to take on James Shields who they have a .346 avg in 240 at bats. They have been very successful against Shields and I don’t see that changing. Good price here and sometimes you just need a little day action to start up a hot streak! 2 pm EST first pitch on this game so don’t miss it.

ML Parlay - Astros (Verlander) / Yankees (Gray) (+125) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - here’s a good value play. Verlander has held the Angels to a .123 avg in 171 at bats with 56 strikeouts, that’s domination. The Astros have T’d off Tropeano in the past and they own a .419 avg in 31 at bats against him. The Astros game starts at 2 EST so get it in early. The Yankees bats scored 5 earned against Jose Berrios last night who has now only allowed earned runs in 2 of his 5 starts this season. The Yanks bats scored 14 runs the night before that. Tonight they get to take on Lance Lynn and their bats should stay hot. It’ll be Sonny in New York tonight but the sky will be Gray for the Twins. They are only hitting .237 in 93 at bats against Sonny Gray. Great matchups to parlay together for plus money odds.

Nationals (Scherzer) (-155) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - Scherzer day and that seems to be the only good day to bet on the Nats this year, they have not lived up to expectations so far. They are just 10-14 but 4-1 when Scherzer gets the start. They should make it 5-1 today. Scherzer has held this Giants lineup to a .209 avg in 110 at bats with 39 strikeouts. The Nats have a .271 avg in 85 at bats against Samardzija. Get Scherzer 2 runs today, that’s all I think he will need.

Dodgers (Kershaw) (-1.5) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - Kershaw is just 1-3 this season but he’s only allowed more than 2 earned runs in one of his starts. That came on Friday, 4/20 and he was clearly baked. I think he has a legitimate shot to throw a no hitter against this Marlins lineup. There are only four hitters in the lineup who have seen him before and they have a .149 avg in 67 at bats with 17 strikeouts. The other five hitters will see Kershaw for the first time, good luck with that. The Dodgers will face Trevor Richards and his 6.16 ERA. He’s allowed 5 earned runs in less than 5 innings pitched on multiple occasions this season, I think we can add another to the list tonight.

NBA:

Pacers (+6) 🏀🏀🏀🏀 - here’s a nice stat for you, in the last 10 meetings between these two teams, the Cavs have only beat the Pacers by 6 plus one time (115-108) on Jan 26, 2018. The Pacers are winning the season series 5-3 going into tonight. I do believe that the league wants LeBron in the second round so I don’t see the Pacers winning this game straight up but they should hang around until the end. I’m comfortable taking the 6 here.

#VIP