4/26 VIP Picks


4-1 last night for a GREAT night and we only missed the Dodgers. Let’s see what we have for today:

MLB:

Yankees (Montgomery) (-200) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - huge moneyline here but I’m taking it today. These teams are headed in opposite directions as the Twins have lost 5 in a row while the Yanks have won 5 in a row. Only three players from the Yankees lineup have seen Gibson but this lineup has been on fire scoring 5 or more runs in their last five games. If the moneyline is too big for your comfort, the run line isn’t a bad play here either since the Yanks have covered the (-1.5) in their last five games. I’ll personally be playing the moneyline because I feel like it’s free money.

Red Sox / Blue Jays UNDER (8) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - Sale & Estrada must start for action. The first two games of this series have gone under 8 but tonight is the best pitching matchup of the series. Chris Sale has held this Jays lineup to a .220 avg in 132 at bats. Estrada has better numbers against the Sox, he’s held them to a .179 avg in 156 at bats. Look for a low scoring game tonight in Toronto.

Cubs / Brewers UNDER (8.5) ⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️ - great matchups tonight for both starting pitchers in this one. Hendricks has held the Brewers lineup to a .212 avg in 113 at bats. He faced this Brewers lineup on April 6th and allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings. Anderson has held the Cubs to a .214 avg in 84 at bats. He faced the Cubs on April 8th and only allowed 2 earned runs over 6 innings. 3 of the 4 games from the series between these two teams in early April went under (8.5). I’m liking the under again tonight.

NBA:

Bucks / Celtics Over (200) 🏀🏀🏀🏀 - Fuck me once, shame on them. Fuck me twice, shame on me. I’m not breaking out the jackhammer again but I’m playing the over tonight. Looking at the numbers, Game Five was the lowest shooting percentage of the series for both teams and it showed. Scores in order of each game this series - 220, 226, 208, 206, & 179. The 179 is a 27 point outlier here and it was due to piss poor shooting from both teams. I don’t think they will have another game this cold. The average shooting percentage in Game Five was 39%. The other four games of the season have been 45% plus. I think they will both bounce back offensively and I expect the over to hit tonight.

Nhl:

Capitals team total goals OVER (3) 🏒🏒🏒🏒🏒 - the Caps have scored 3 or more goals in their last 10 games. They’ve also scored 3 or more goals in 3 out of 4 games against the Penguins this season. In the regular season, the Caps scored 3 goals or more in 55 of 82 games (67%). I like our odds here and I think worst case scenario, we settle with a push.


#VIP