Another 3-1 day yesterday and the fires burning! Happy Cinco De Mayo, Happy Derby Day, Happy Saturday! I know you’re all getting drunk for some good reason today and you need winners! Stick to playing each pick evenly, profit. Let’s see what we got:
Cubs (Chatwood) (+110) - Cubs are listed as underdogs today but they are 3-1 this season when listed as the underdog. On top of that, it’s a really good matchup for them against Luke Weaver. They have a .476 avg & .810 slg% against in 42 at bats. The Cubs scored 6 earned runs in 4 innings against him in an 8-5 win on 4/19. Chatwood has held this Cardinals lineup in check .242 avg in 33 at bats. Take the UnderCubs I mean Underdogs today.
Brewers (Chacin) (Even) - another listed underdog here and there’s great value on this one. This Brewers lineup has a .328 avg & .597 slg% in 67 at bats against James Taillon. The Pirates lineup hasn’t seen much of Chacin but he’s been good against them in a small sample size.
Rockies (Bettis) (+110) - Yup, a third listed underdog with a fantastic matchup. The Mets have now lost 4 straight and what the hell happened to this team who had the leagues best record at one point early on? This Rockies lineup will take on Matz today who they have a .442 avg & .744 slg% against in 43 at bats. Chad Bettis has been good against this Mets lineup and has held them to a .226 avg in 31 at bats. Go Rockies!
Red Sox (Rodriguez) (-155) - ERod had a tough outting against the Royals but he has been good this season. The Red Sox take on Cole Hamels who they have had success against in the past. This Sox lineup has a .309 avg & .606 slg% in 94 at bats against him. Look for the Sox bats to be out in Arlington tonight!
Preds / Jets OVER (5.5) - these two teams have been getting the puck on net and I’m comfortable taking this over even after last game 2-1 final. They’ve gone over (5.5) in 6 out of their last 10 head to head matchups. With this series tied up at 2, both teams will come out firing early. I think this one goes wayyyyyy over 😉
Celtics (+9) - This isn’t a bailout but I’d like to get this off my chest first, I’ve got a WEIRD feeling about this game. The spread just seems way too big for this matchup. The Sixers haven’t covered (-9) against the Cs in their last 10 head to head matchups. The Celtics have won 8 of the last 10 straight up - I know I know they had Kyrie for a few of those. I know the Sixers jumped out to a 22 point lead in Game Two but the Celtics came back, they’ve done that all season. 9 just seems like too much here, 75% of the public is on the Green Team but this line is too good not to take.
Kentucky Derby 🐎 -
To win -
Magnum Moon 13-1 as of 9:21 a.m. EST.
I know about the curse he is up against today but he comes in 4-0 and he’s undefeated. The only other threat to him in my eyes is Justify. I’ll take my chances on Magnum Moon at 13-1.
To win - Justify 2-1 as of 9:21 a.m. EST
One of these two horses will break the curse of Apollo today.
Stogies - check 🚬
Mint julep - check 🥃