5/13 VIP Picks


Great hockey win but the reverse sweep on baseball made it a tough night for us. I honestly don’t think we have lost all of our MLB bets in one day this season until last night and it’s the middle of May so not bad. We will bounce back on the diamond today!

MLB:

Braves (Newcomb) (-138) - Braves got back to winning last night and they’ve now won 4 out of their last 5. They will take on Jose Urena today and they have a .323 avg & .519 slg% against him in 62 at bats. I expect the Braves bats to be out in full force today. Great price on this one.

Mets / Phillies Under (7) - low over under here but I’m liking this one. DeGrom & Nola must start for action on this one. Nola has only allowed more than 2 earned runs one time in 8 starts this season including one of those games being against this Mets team.

deGrom has only allowed more than 2 earned runs in two of his 7 starts. Nola has held this Mets lineup to a .255 avg in 47 at bats while deGrom has held this Phillies lineup to a .224 avg in 76 at bats. I like a 2-1 or 3-2 game today and it’ll be thanks to two great starts by these two stud starters.

Yanks / Astros moneyline parlay - both moneylines are above (-300) and parlaying then gets you to (-133). They will both probably cover the (-1.5) today but I’m more comfortable putting together the moneyline parlay and count on them both to win. Severino is going for the Yanks and he’s held the A’s lineup to a .227 avg in 22 at bats. Keuchel has held the Rangers to a .236 avg in 263 at bats. Both of these teams win today.

Nationals (Hellickson) (+118) - end your weekend with an underdog on Sunday Night Baseball. Hellickson has held this DBacks lineup to a .172 avg in 58 at bats. The Nats bats have hit Godley hard for a .362 avg & .569 slg% in 58 at bats. Turner, Adams, & Kendrick have hit homers against Godley.

NHL:

Lightning ML - I know this is a big moneyline but if you’re playing a side in this one, the Lightning is the play. After a Game One loss at home to the Bruins last series the Bolts bounced back with a 4-2 and won four straight. They won’t win four straight because the Caps are winning this series but they will even the series up tonight. Play it heavy or pair it with the Yanks for a parlay piece. 

Lightning / Capitals Under (6) - here’s a more valuable play than the moneyline. 3 out of 4 (75%) of the games between these two teams this season have gone under or pushed at 6. The Lightning will be playing a defensive style of play to start this game to avoid giving up another early lead. I think that will be a good start and essentially seal the under for us in the end.

NBA:

You guys are going to be upset with me on this but I’m not picking a side in this game. I’m telling you to skip betting a side today and double down on Tuesday putting your money on whoever loses today.

Cavs / Celts Over (205) - both of these teams have been raking up the points like Yo Gotti lately. Cavs last 5 scores - 128, 105, 128, 113, & 105. Celtics last 5 scores - 114, 92 (fixed game), 101, 108, & 117. So if we were to match these two up, 4 out of their last 5 would go over. I really like this one to go over today. I tell all my hoes, rake it up...

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