LeBron is going to put the Cavs on his back tonight and they will win Game 2 tonight in The Garden. I said it before Game 1 and I’ll stand by my statement, I said whoever loses Game 1 will win Game 2. I’m a firm believer and have seen it happen time and time again where the NBA extends series. Don’t call me an idiot and stop reading, I have plenty of ammo to back up my argument here and if you use it correctly, you can win some money tonight.
Let’s take a look at the numbers. Since 2011, LeBron led teams are 3-0 after a Game 1 loss. The King doesn’t lose Game 1 much, but when he does, here’s how he bounces back in Game 2:
2011 - ECF - Game 1 L to Bulls 103-82 Come back to win game 2 85-75
Game 1 Stats - 15 points, 6 rebounds, & 6 assists. Team Free Throw Comparison - Bulls 20 Heat 15.
Game 2 Stats - 29 points, 10 rebounds, & 5 assists. Team Free Throw Comparison - Bulls 26 Heat 24.
2013 Finals - Game 1 L to Spurs 92-88 Come back to win Game 2 103-84
Game 1 Stats - 18 points, 18 rebounds, & 10 assists. Team Free Throw Comparison - Spurs 18 Heat 17.
Game 2 Stats - 17 points, 8 rebounds, & 7 assists. Team Free Throw Comparison - Heat 14 Spurs 14.
2018 First Round Game 1 L to Pacers 98-80 come back to win Game 2 100-97
Game 1 Stats - 24 points,10 rebounds, & 12 assists. Team Free Throw comparison - Pacers 25 Cavs 12.
Game 2 Stats - 46 points, 12 rebounds, & 5 assists. Team Free throw comparison - Cavs 22 Pacers 12.
So as the numbers here show, LeBron bounces back in a big way in Game 2s after a Game 1 loss since 2011. You can see a swing in the team free throw attempts from Game 1 to Game 2 in 2 out of 3 of these examples. Coincidence? I don’t think so. Look how big of a swing the team free throws were from Game 1 to Game 2 of the Cavs Pacers series earlier this postseason. 25 to 12 in the Pacers favor for Game 1 and then 22 to 12 in the Cavs favor for Game 2. That big of a swing in free throw attempts and the Cavs still almost lost that game if you remember. That’s the game that Oladipo hit the three to cover the spread as time expired. Don’t get me wrong, LeBron is one of the greatest players to ever play the game but looking at these numbers clearly shows that he’s gotten some help from the officials in Game 2s following a Game 1 loss.
What did we see in Game 1 between the Cavs and Celts? We saw how much better of a coach Brad Stevens in than LeBron, I mean Tyron Lue. The defense was swarming and the Cavs never got their offense going. I think tonight will be the LeBron show and he will go to the rim over and over again which will lead to more free throw attempts. I know some of you will tell me that’s just because of the style of basketball he plays. My question for you guys is why he didn’t play that style in Game 1? LeBron only had 6 free throw attempts in Game 1 even though his team had 20 compared to the Celtics 13. LeBron was 5-16 from the field and 0-5 from three. The Cavs as a team were 4-26 from three. If the Cavs don’t make some adjustments, it will be tough for them to get going again against this Celtics defense tonight. *Whiste* that’s where the refs will come in. You can call me crazy and tell me I don’t know what I’m talking about but watch the game close tonight and watch how it plays out. I will do a full review on the game tomorrow. My final stat for you is that at the time of this article being completed, 54% of the public is taking the Celtics tonight.
My pick for tonight - Cavs Moneyline (-105) - You can take the +1 if you want the one point cushion but the Cavs will win this game tonight. The team hashtag is #WhateverItTakes and that’s what they will do tonight with some help from the refs to get the win and even this series up 1-1.