ROUGH night. The Jackhammer misses by one touchdown after TCU played like shit early on. SMU offense never came out of the locker room. Still almost hit. We got walked off on in two of our three MLB bets. When it rains it snows. Few tough days this week and we are due for a HUGE day today. I stayed up for that whole TCU/SMU game and didn’t go to bed until 1:45 a.m. EST. I’m up at 6:07 a.m. researching todays picks. Let’s get it.
Cubs / Nats double header fucked up the Scherzer / Hamels pitching matchup. Stay away.
Dodgers (Buehler) (-135) - Walker Buehler has had success against this Rockies lineup in the past and he has held them to a .233 avg in 73 at bats. He should get plenty of run support today when the Dodgers lineup goes up against Kyle Freeland. They have a .306 avg in 85 at bats against him. Dodgers should take care of business in this one.
Mississippi State (-7) - MSU is headed on the road today to take on Kansas State. Both of these teams are coming off of wins in week 1 but they were very different wins. Kansas State won a tight 27-24 contest against South Dakota while MSU is coming off of a 63-6 rout over SF Austin. One thing that stood out to me in MSU’s big win last week was the pressure that their front seven was able to put on the SF Austin offense. They generated 17 plays of lost yardage and seemed to be within a finger length of the QB every time he dropped back. Kansas State has a better O-line but make no mistake that these big boys on MSU will be hungry again today. The MSU offense has no problem scoring last week but they should be even better today as they get back their starting QB who was suspended in week one and was injured at the end of last season. One other huge factor is that Kansas State had 13 penalties and 4 turnovers last week. If they aren’t able to clean this up today, it will literally be impossible for them to even come close in this game. I am liking MSU to cover the -7 on the road in this one. EARLY GAME!! Noon EST.
Memphis (-6.5) - Let me start out by saying that I really like this matchup today. This Memphis offense was powerful last year and if week 1 was any indication of what we can expect this year, it’s going to be just as good - if not better. QB Brady White made his first start for Memphis last week and threw for 5 touchdowns to 5 different receivers and 358 yards. He threw three TD passes for over 40 yards including a 45 yarder, 62 yarder, and 75 yarder. This Navy defense will be up for a tall task to slow this Memphis air attack down after they allowed 59 points last week and 436 passing yards. I am fully expecting this Memphis offense to absolutely pick them apart. The Navy offense focuses on the run and they have the ability to make big plays but they aren’t going to keep up with this Memphis offense that is going to light the scoreboard up like a fat fucking stogie. One more factor for this one is that Navy is coming off of a 9,600 mile round trip to Honolulu which is the longest trip any College Football team will make this year. Tired or not, I don’t see Navy keeping up with Memphis today.
2 team teaser:
Memphis (-0.5) / Georgia (-4) - You have seen the facts about Memphis already now let’s take a look at Georgia. Georgia beat South Carolina last 24-10 last year. South Carolina has improved their offense since then and they will have the home field advantage today. Georgia lost some talent from their defense from last season but they are still projected to be one of the best defenses in College Football again this season. You can bet that they will hold this Gamecock offense to less than the 49 points that they scored last week against Coastal Carolina. When you think of this Georgia offense you should think of them losing Sonny Michel and Nick Chubb to the NFL. However, you shouldn’t be worried about it with the emergence of RB D’Andre Swift who averaged over 7 yards per carry last season. Who recorded 43 yards and a touchdown on 8 carries last week in the 45-0 win against Austin Peay. He should see a lot more action today and that will open up the passing game for Jake Fromm who has one of the best receiving cores in College Football. Fromm was thrown into the fire as a true freshman last year and one thing that I really like about him is that he keeps his composure and doesn’t turn the ball over. That will be huge on the road today. The spread on this one is -10 and I would probably take that in this one too but I’m more confident if you tease it down to -4 and pair it with Memphis to basically win straight up. I hope your JACKHAMMER still works after last night - get that thing out and start hammering away!!!
Nebraska (-3) - Nebraska and Colorado will square off today and neither one of these teams were relevant last season. Colorado ad 5 wins in the Pac-12 and Nebraska had 4 wins in the Big Ten. Nebraska had their home opener cancelled last weekend so I view that as a nice pre-season tailgate practice for the fans that got wasted and realized if the game did get played last week that they would have been blackout by half time. I expect the Nebraska fans to make some adjustments for today and time their drinking accordingly so they can provide a ruckus environment for Colorado to play in on the road where they were just 1-4 last season. Colorado has watched plenty of film this week on Nebraska’s offense but you can’t replicate the speed and tempo in practice. They will experience that tempo first hand today and I don’t think that they will be able to keep up with it. The over could be a valuable play in this one as well but my money is on Nebraska -3 in their home opener.
Teasers: Play these in groups of two. They are listed in order of confidence:
Mississippi State (-1.5)
Florida / Kentucky Over 46
USC Stanford Over (49.5)
Penn State (-1.5)
Big boy favorites - moneyline parlay for even money odds:
Mississippi State / Clemson / Florida / Arkansas (+133)
Let’s have ourselves a fucking day!! Due for a big day!