When you go 3-0 and the JACKHAMMER hits #ThatUnstoppableFeeling We need to keep it going with some high percentage plays so let’s get right into the picks for today.
Braves (Sanchez) (-145) - Am I crazy about the pitching vs hitting matchup for either of these teams today? Nope. Have the Giants lost 10 games in a row? YUP. At this point in the year, when you lost 10 games in a row it’s pretty easy to get into a funk when you just show up and go through the motions without being as motivated as you were earlier in the season. They aren’t officially mathematically eliminated from the playoffs but they are 13.5 games back of the second NL Wild Card spot with 16 games to play. That isn’t going to happen. On the flip side, the Braves have won 7 of their last 8 games (that weren’t against the Red Sox) and they are playing daily to close out and clinch the NL East. They currently have a 6.5 game lead and are plenty motivated to win their division which they haven’t done since 2013. I rarely make a pick based on teams motivation levels but that is strictly what this pick is based on.
Diamondbacks (Corbin) (-115) - VALUE ALERT! This moneyline is just under even money and this is a GREAT matchup for the DBacks tonight. The DBacks come in with a .360 avg in 86 at bats against Jon Gray. They have only faced him one time this year but they won that game 8-2. Patrick Corbin will pitch for the DBacks and he has gone 7 straight games allowing 3 earned runs or less. He has been really good as of late and I expect that to continue tonight. He has faced this Rockies lineup twice this season and allowed 2 earned runs in each start. Give me the DBacks at good value.
Red Sox (Price) (-1.5) - PRICE CHECK! David Price gets the start for the Sox tonight as long as the rain moves out of the Boston area by game time. The current forecast shows 30% of showers at game time. Price has held this Jays lineup to a .237 avg in 135 at bats. Pretty good! He had won 9 games in a row before taking a loss last time out to the Astros but that wasn’t his fault - the Sox bullpen fell apart. On the flip side, the Sox will take on Aaron Sanchez who they scored 7 earned runs over 5 innings against in an 8-3 win. Run line is the only option in this one with the moneyline well below -200.