10/2 VIP Picks
Chiefs with a come back to get us a push at -4 in the Monday Night Football game. I hate settling for a push but I’d rather have that than lose my money. I’ll take my money back and bet it on tonight’s National League Wild Card game! We suffered a loss yesterday in game 163 but it wasn’t Quintana’s fault, he pitched great as expected. Blame it on the Cubs bullpen who served up a fastball right down the middle on an 0-2 count to get the rally started in the 8th. Like I said yesterday, last night and tonight will be slow due to the games available to bet on but with hockey starting up tomorrow we will get back to our standard 3-5 picks per day.
MLB:
Rockies (Freeland) (+129) - This isn’t a reaction bet of fuck the Cubs for losing yesterday, I actually think the matchup tonight favors the Rockies in a big way and let me tell you why. Kyle Freeland will take the mound for the Rockies who finished the season as one of the most dominant pitchers in the league. He finished with 11 quality starts in a row and went 8-0 with a 2.18 earned run average. He will start on the road tonight where some may be concerned of his 7-5 road record this season. However, he is 4-0 in his last 5 road starts and he hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in any of those starts. He has also held this Cubs lineup (who only scored 1 run yesterday) to a .167 avg in a small sample size of 36 at bats. Jon Lester will go for the Cubs and he got his shit together recently after some terrible outings in July/August when he gave up 8 earned runs on two separate occasions. The Rockies lineup comes in having some decent success against him in the past and they are hitting just under .280 in 112 career at bats against him. The wind looks to be calm tonight in Chicago but four guys in this Rockies lineup have taken Lester deep before, no Cubs have taken Freeland deep. Not sold on this Rockies underdog pick yet? Before yesterday’s loss, the Rockies had won 9 of their final 10 games. They are hot and I think they will ride it tonight at Wrigley Field. Finally, 67% of the public is ALL over the Cubs tonight at home. Give me the Rockies. Coors Light shotguns from all of you guys when this wins tonight.
Stats for the O/U - I’m not playing the over or under in this one because it’s a tough line at 7. However, here are some over under stats on the One Game Wild Card Games since the new format started in 2012:
There have been 12 total games
Only 2 of 6 National League Games have gone under 7
4 of 6 American League Games have pushed or gone under 7
There have been an average of 8.3 runs scored in all 12 games
Outlier was last year’s Rockies / Diamondbacks 11-8 19 total runs