1-3 for a losing night mostly thanks to Ohio football not showing up. I know I know after a couple days where we split and then a losing night last night it feels like the sky is falling. Don’t worry, it’s not. We were a missed 29 yard field goal away from hitting the parlay that would have paid +170 and it would have been a winning day. Ohio kicker Louie Zervos is a 70%+ kicker this season and he missed a 29 yarder last night. Thanks Louie. What do we do after a losing day? High percentage plays to get back on track. To the picks.
Panthers (+9.5) / Over (46.5) - Both of these teams come in on winning streaks with the Steelers winners of 4 straight and the Panthers winners of 3 straight and 4 of their last 5. Let’s start by talking about the teased over in this one - the average total points in the last 4 wins for each team combined is 53.5. 6 of those 8 scores have gone over 46.5 so I’m confident in that. As for the Panthers at +9.5, that seems too good to pass up because they haven’t lost by more than 7 all season (they’ve only lost twice). Steelers running back James Conner has five 100+ yard games this season and that has opened things up for the Steelers offense. This Panthers run defense is ranked #8 in the league and I expect them to slow Conner down tonight. The Steelers struggled early on but they seem to have got their season going in the right direction. I think they will win this game but I think the +9.5 for the Panthers is too comfortable to not take.
Celtics (-9.5) - The Celtics have started their road trip with two losses in a row but they will bounce back in a BIG way tonight in Phoenix. The Suns are 2-8 on the season and they have lost those 8 games by an average of 19 points per game. They just lost by 22 to the Brooklyn Nets in their last game, they lost by 30 to the Spurs, and they lost by 28 to the Nuggets. We have seen the potential of this Celtics offense when they get hot. It should be hot in Phoenix tonight and the Csssss should light it up #NoSunNecessary.
Golden Knights / Senators Over (5.5) - 8 of the last 10 games for the Senators have gone over 5.5 and that includes one game between these two teams that finished with 7 total goals. The Senators have had offense in some games (7-3 win against the Devils) and they have had no defense in others (9-2 loss to the Sabres). The Senators are allowing 4 goals per game this season and scoring 3.5 per game. Love this over at 5.5 tonight.
Cross sports high percentage parlay:
Celtics ML / Lightning ML (-130) - You see the matchup the Celtics have against the Suns above, they aren’t going to lose that game. Then we have the Lightning in hockey who have won 7 of their last 10 and have won 4 of those 7 games by 2 goals or more. They will be hosting the Islanders who had a recent hot streak snapped in their last game in a loss to the Canadiens. These moneylines are too crazy to play individually but if you parlay them you get -130 odds - SURE!