11/23



#Thankful 3-1 last night but you could have taken either of the bets in the first game yesterday and still won - I’ll only count one of those wins though. Cowboys roll in the second game. MSU allows 14 points or less for the 9th time this season and wins 35-3. We missed the over in the late game but leave it to the Falcons to fumble multiple times in the red zone - that’s the kind of shit that teams do who blow 28-3 leads in SuperBowls. Losers. 3-1 though and remember on Wednesday when I said a couple days of high percentage plays would get us on a nice streak? Actually, here are the exact words from Wednesdays blog - “I can hear the NBA Jam announcer now - they’re heating up! THEY’RE ON FIRE! KOOOOOOOOOOOFSPORTS! LFG.” I hope you all had a great Thanksgiving! A LOT of action to be had today so let’s get to the fucking picks.

NCAAF:

Texas / Kansas Over (50) - Kansas is coming off of a game where they let Oklahoma cover over 50 points themselves in a game with 95 total points. Texas isn’t as powerful as Oklahoma on the offensive side of the ball but they are capable of racking up the points. Texas has scored 40+ three times this season and they average 32 points per game. The Texas defense hasn’t been great this season and they allow 26 points per game. Texas QB Sam Ehlinger is questionable to play but he is going to play. Texas will be motivated to go ahead and run it up in this one because they have a birth to the Big 12 Championship game on the line. I like this one to be a 42-21 or 38-24 kind of game. Over 50! #NoonKickoff

Virginia (-4.5) - Virginia Tech has beat Virginia 14 seasons in a row but that streak ends today! Virginia will win this game and they will cover the -4.5. Va Tech has now lost four games in a row and all of those losses have been by 10+ points. Their most recent loss game against Miami last week when they were blown out 38-14. The importance of that loss is the fact that the Hokies faced a duel threat quarterback in that game and the results were not pretty. They will face another duel threat QB today when they take on Virginia and we should see Virginia QB Bryce Perkins have success today against this Va Tech defense. Seeing the current losing streak of Va Tech and the fact that they have lost 5 of their last 6 - I don’t see why their poor play will change today. I have Virginia winning this one by double digits.

Oklahoma (-3.5) - When I first saw this matchup I wanted to take the over so bad but 85.5 is 85.5 and that’s a lot of points. They are totally capable of putting up that kind of number but 85.5 is 85.5. I like Oklahoma in this game and I view them as the better team in this matchup. They come into this game 10-1 and their one loss was by 3 points. If Notre Dame or Michigan lose this weekend, I see Oklahoma bouncing up into the Top 4 if they put together a convincing win tonight. West Virginia is coming off of a loss last week to Oklahoma State and they come into this game 8-2. WVU is good at home this season and they haven’t lost at home but Oklahoma has been great on the road and have a 19 game winning streak in true road games - that’s impressive. WVU has been tested when they face teams with powerful offenses. They will be tested tonight because they will be facing the challenge of the number one ranked offense in college football when it comes to points per game - Oklahoma is averaging 49.5 points per game. If the Oklahoma defense can come up with a couple of stops and Oklahoma gets out to an early lead similar to what Texas Tech did to WVU earlier this season, this one could turn into a blowout. I just don’t see WVU slowing down this Oklahoma offense. The winner of this game will move on to the Big 12 Championship game to face Texas when they beat Kansas today. I like Oklahoma to win and I like them to win by more than 3.5.

NBA:

Moneyline Parlay:

Nuggets ML / Celtics ML / Raptors ML (-107) - High percentage parlay here with great value at just under even money. We have the Nuggets hosting the Magic tonight and the Nuggets are 7-3 at home this season. They are coming off a win against the TWolves and will look to put together another winning streak. The Celtics have been playing but but tonight feels like a game that they will come out with fire and snap the 3 game losing streak. This team is just 9-9 this season and there is just too much talent to be a .500 team. They will take on the Hawks tonight who have lost 9 games in a row, the Celts get the win tonight. The Raptors continue to be one of the best teams in the league and they are 10.5 point favorites against a 6-11 Wizards team tonight. I like the Raptors to get us a win in this one.

NHL:

Predators (-125) - Didn’t we just bet on the Predators to beat the Blues like two days ago and they won 4-1? Yes, we did. Here we go again with the same matchup two days later and I’ll take the same thing. The Preds have now won 3 in a row and the Blues have lost 4 of their last 5. The Preds outplayed the Blues in every aspect of the game Wednesday shots, hits, faceoffs, and takeaways. I don’t see anything changing today and I think we will get a similar result to Wednesdays game. Great value on the moneyline at -125 for this matchup. Let’s go Preds!

Golf (The Match)

Tiger Woods (-185) - This is going to be a lot of fun to watch and Tiger is going to run away with this, hence the line. I’d like to set an over under on if the public will wager more or less than Tiger and Phil actually do. Both of them will be making side bets the whole match and that could favor Tiger if he challenges Phil to a few long drive bets because those could lead to a few holes lost for Phil. I also think the booze will get o Phil in this one on the back nine and Tiger wins the match, he had too good of a season not to. Play the juice, don’t pay the juice - risk 1 unit on this one.

#VIP