2-1 last night but it stings a little that Buffalo blew a second half 19 point lead to hold us back from a 3-0 night. We will take the winning night and move on to SATURDAY! What a day it’s going to be with a nice lineup of games. Let’s get to the picks!
Texas / Oklahoma Over (78.5) - These two teams faced eachother earlier this season and the final score was 48-45 (93). Both of these teams have been playing HIGH scoring games all season with total scores of 115, 95, 95, 97, 99, 77, 75, and 83. Both of these offenses have the ability to play at a fast pace and absolutely light up the scoreboard. Oklahoma is averaging 50.3 points per game and Texas is averaging 31.7 points per game this season. Texas’ final two games may be a concern for some since they only scored 24 in both of those games but a major factor in that was their opponent trying to control the clock and keep their offense off of the field. Oklahoma will not be looking to slow the game down and keep the Texas offense off the field. Both of these teams will be looking to go, go, and GO AGAIN. We basically need 40 a side which might seem like a lot for this game but I think we could see another 100+ total score game like Oklahoma played against West Virginia last week. Drinking game - every score - DRINK. #NoonKickoff Take the over in this one to get the day started right.
Alabama / Georgia Under (64) - Sorry to spoil the fun for the SEC Championship but there is going to be some defense played in this game. Alabama is allowing 13.8 points per game compared to the 17.2 that Georgia is allowing. If they hold to their averages, that would total just half of the line at 64. Obviously, there will probably be more scoring than that but in the end, I think 64 is too many points for this game. Sure the Tide is averaging 49 points per game and the Dawgs are averaging 40.1 points per game but let’s be honest, both of them only played a couple of “good” defenses this year. Let’s take a look at those results - Georgia was held to 16 points against LSU and 27 to Auburn. Bama was held to 29 by LSU and 24 by Mississippi State. These two teams played eachother in the National Championship last season and the final score was 26-23 (49 total). Add in the fact that 70% of the public money is on the over and I’m all over the under in this one. D-FENSE! D-FENSE!
Oklahoma ML / Alabama ML / Ohio Sate ML (-121) - This one is good value on three teams that are all plenty motivated and need wins today. Oklahoma will be looking to get a win with hopes of getting into the College Football playoff and they will be a little extra motivated for this one. They will also be looking to avenge the loss that they suffered to Texas earlier this season which is the only reason why they aren’t #2 or #3 in the Nation already. Oklahoma fell short of a late come back and lost to Texas by a field goal. Texas has suffered two losses since then and they have had a couple of wins that were far from convincing. I think Oklahoma gets even with Texas and gets the win in this one. Then we have Bama who will be looking to remain undefeated and the #1 team in the country. A big common opponent comparison you can do to show where these teams stack up is against LSU who routed Georgia 36-16 and Bama beat LSU 29-0 - both of those games were in Death Valley. Bama is favored by double digits for a reason in this game and we just need them to win straight up. Finally we have Ohio State closing it out and you can see the write up below on OSU but to be short and sweet, Northwestern has the 11th ranked passing defense in the Big Ten and OSU QB Dwayne Haskins is the only QB in College Football who is averaging 300+ passing yards per game. -121 isn’t a bad price for these three teams who are favored by more than a touchdown to win straight up.
Memphis (+140) - That’s right, Memphis MONEYLINE! These two teams played back on October 13 and Memphis came close to pulling the upset but came up just short in a 31-30 loss. UCF has remained unbeaten since then and they are riding a 24 game winning streak. Problem for them is that their starting quarterback McKenzie Milton is done for the season due to a leg injury and they will have a freshman making his first start to replace Milton. I can tell you that this UCF offense will be much different with a freshman running it and really only having a week to prepare. The kids name is Darriel Mack Jr. and he was just 5-14 when he came in last week after Milton’s injury. Milton has accounted for 9 total touchdowns against Memphis over the last two seasons so having him out with an injury has to be a HUGE confidence booster for this Memphis squad. Memphis is coming off of an impressive 52-31 win against a good Houston team. Memphis running back Darrell Henderson tore up this UCF defense in their meeting back on Oct 13 and finished with 199 rushing yards with two touchdowns. I’m looking for Memphis to ride Henderson, control this game, and win this one outright. Hit the moneyline at +140!
Memphis (+9) / Ohio State (-8.5) - You see the write up above where I like Memphis to win straight up so getting +9 is an early Christmas gift. Then we have Ohio State st -8.5 Who is coming off of an absolute blowout win against the then #4 team in the country. Ohio State looked very impressive last week. OSU QB Dwayne Haskins broke Drew Brees Big Ten passing touchdown record for the season in last weeks big win and he is the only QB in College Football who is averaging more than 300 passing yards per game. That won’t be a good matchup for this Northwestern defense that ranks 11th in the Big Ten in passing defense. I like Haskins to get this offense going early and I like the Buckeyes to win by double digits.
Preds / Blackhawks Over (5.5) - The Blackhawks have played 5 straight games that have gone OVER 5.5. They have allowed 26 goals in their last 5 games so their opponent has basically been covering the over themselves but they have also been scoring. There have been 22 total goals in their last 2 games. Of course the Preds are coming off a game where they were shut out by a rookie goaltender making his debut but expect a bounce back game tonight and this one should go over 5.5.
Lightning (-135) - Both of these teams just beat the Sabres in their last game but the Panthers just played last night and the Lightning had the night off. The Panthers have lost 6 of their last 9 including a 7-3 loss to the Lightning on 11/21. Lightning are hot and have won 6 of their last 8 including a 7-3 win against the Panthers on 11/21. I know I said it twice but the Lightning beat the Panthers 7-3 on 11/21. -135 is stealing.
Gonzaga (-5) - Sure Creighton looks good coming into this one 6-1 but who have they played? They beat Clemson which is the most impressive game from them this season but they lost by 9 to Ohio State. Gonzaga has shown that they are legit this season and come into this game averaging 97.7 and they have already knocked off Duke to show how good of a team they are this season. Yes, Clemson was ranked when Creighton beat them but they aren’t Gonzaga. I expect the Bulldogs to cover this one for us today.