12/15 VIP Picks



Straight picks go 2-2 thanks to the Golden Knights blowing a lead - they were up 3-0 in the 1st and 4-1 half way through the 2nd and still found a way to lose the game. The Raptors had a let down game after their big win against the Warriors. We hit the Caps and Jets in overtime though. I just don’t know how you blow a 3 goal lead halfway through the game. On to Saturday, let’s see what we got.

NBA:

Celtics (-2) - I know, the Celts are on a back to back and that may scare some of you away but I’m all over the Celts tonight. They have won 8 straight games with an average margin of victory of 22.75 points per game. They have been breaking Celtic historic records of margin of victory and to think of it like that is pretty crazy because there have been some GOOD teams over the years for this franchise. They will be on the road tonight taking on the Pistons who they have already beat twice this season. They won the game in Detroit by 20 points - 109-89. One thing to keep in mind if you are worried about the back to back is the fact that only two players played more than 25 minutes for the Celtics last night thanks to the blowout against the Hawks so these guys will be fresh tonight. The Pistons can almost match the Celtics with a streak of their own but it’s not a winning streak - the Pistons have lost 6 games in a row. Thank the books for this spread and take it to the bank.

NHL:

Maple Leafs (-150) - I mean both of these teams have been struggling as of late but the Leafs are clearly the better team. The Panthers come into this one 11-13-6 and they have lost 4 in a row. The Leafs come in 21-10-1 and have lost 3 of their last 5. These two teams have not matched up yet this season but the biggest stat that sticks out to me in this one is that the Panthers are allowing an average of 3.57 goals per game this season and this Leafs team should be taking advantage of that lack of defense tonight. The Leafs haven’t lost 4 games in a5 game stretch all season and I don’t think tonight will be the first time for that against a team who they are much better than.

Canadiens (-1.5) - The Habs come into this one hot and they have won 4 out of their last 5 and 2 of those 4 wins were against this Senators team that they will play today. They beat the Sens 5-2 two games in a row on 12/4 and 12/6. They outplayed them in all aspects of the game in both of those games. The Sens have lost 3 of their last 5 and they are on the second half of a back to back. I have to think that we will see a similar result tonight in Montreal

Football Teaser:

We are getting creative today with a two selection teaser and we are taking an NFL game and teasing it with a College Football game. Here’s what it’s looking like and it’s looking good:

Texans (-1) / Middle Tenn / App State Over (41.5) - The Texans came back to reality last week with a loss to the Colts and they had their 9 game winning streak snapped. Good news for them is they have a 4-9 Jets team that they get to play later on today. The AFC South and East played eachother this season so we can compare some common opponents - The Texans beat the Jaguars who beat the Jets 31-12. The Texans beat the Dolphins 42-23 and the Dolphins have already beat the Jets twice this season. The Texans beat the Bills who beat the Jets 41-10 in their first meeting. This Jets offense has struggled at times this season and they will face a Texans defense that ranks top 5 in points allowed per game with 19.9. I think the Texans defense will hold this Jets offense in check and the balanced Texans offense should be able to rack it up against this Jets defense who is allowing 25 points per game this season. Now onto the College over. This game is being played in New Orleans at the Saints stadium indoors so it’s perfect conditions for a College Football over. Both of these offenses have been good all season long and their averages show that - App State is averaging 36.7 points per game and Mid Ten is averaging 29.2 points per game. If they hold true to their averages today they will cover this teased over by three touchdowns and a field goal. One number that sticks out is App State allowing just 15.7 points per games but look at the line of pathetic opponents that they have played. Charlotte, Gardner-Webb, South Alabama, Arkansas State, Texas State, and Troy. Pretty easy to have a good looking points allowed per game number when you play those schools who I didn’t even know had football programs. Of course that also allowed their offense to look really good but they scored 38 against a top 10 team. App State literally played one game this season against a credible offense and that was against Penn State - the final score in that one was 45-38 (way over). Mid Tenn has shown they can put points up themselves (61, 51, 48) and they have allowed their opponents to do the same (49 & 35). We need 21 a side from these two teams tonight and I don’t think that will be a problem with what we have seen both their offenses and defenses do this year.

I say this every year but don’t go crazy with the bowl games, there are a lot of matchups that are tough to predict because these teams matchup and they play in completely different conferences and have no common opponents and no common levels of play.

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