12/16 VIP Picks
2-2 for a mediocre night but let’s not act like it was a brutal losing night. Leafs lose in overtime, Celtics fall apart down the stretch and lose. Canadiens win 5-2 against the Senators for the third time in a row in head to head matchups and the football teaser was easy money with the Texans covering and then App State covering the teased over themselves. I’m ready for a HUGE NFL Sunday and we are getting out the JACKHAMMER today (for those of you who don’t know yet that’s a signal of my most confident picks and you can double or triple down on them!) Let’s get to the picks!
NFL:
Seahawks (-3.5) - JACKHAMMER- What the actual fuck? How is this line -3.5? The Seahawks beat this same 49ers team 43-16 two weeks ago and the home field isn’t a 27 point difference. The Seahawks are coming off of an impressive win against the Vikings and they have now won 4 in a row as they close in on an NFC Wild Card spot. The Niners got a win last week against the Broncos but they are still just 3-10 this season. No deep stats on this write up just take the fact that the Seahawks are actually playing for something and that they beat this same team by 27 2 weeks ago. Take it to the fucking bank.
Patriots (-2.5) - As much as the Pats have struggled against the Dolphins in Miami, they have been the complete opposite against the Steelers. Tom Brady is 11-2 lifetime against the Steelers. The Steelers have now lost 3 in a row including their most recent loss last week to the 3-10 Oakland fucking Raiders. I expect the Patriots to use a well balanced offense and they should be able to get it going against this Steelers defense that’s allowed 24 points per game. The Steelers are also banged up and going through a tough stretch - 3 game losing streak. I think the Miracle in Miami is exactly what this Pats team needed to wake the fuck up and they will show that today with a HUGE bounce back performance.
Titans (-1.5) - I know the Giants have won 4 of their last 5 but what are we supposed to be impressed with? They beat the Redskins with Mark Sanchez at QB? They beat the Bears with Chase Daniel at QB? They beat the Bucs by 3? They beat the 3-10 49ers by 4? Yeah, I’m not impressed at all. Granted the Titans haven’t been overly impressive in what they have done but it’s been a lot better than the Giants and the Titans are playing for a playoff birth. Give me the Titans on the road in this one.
Teaser selections: play in groups of 2, listed in order of confidence.
Saints (-0.5) - this game is tomorrow but is a great piece to tease with a game today.
Cowboys (+9.5)
Ravens (-2.5)
Jaguars (-1.5)
Packers (+11.5)
Moneyline parlay:
Ravens ML / Seahawks ML (-114) - You see the breakdown of the Seahawks above and I don’t see how they can lose this game. The Ravens are currently holding on to the second Wild Card spot in the AFC. They are coming off of a game last week where they were very close to knocking off the best team in the AFC - Chiefs. The Ravens will host the Bucs who have lost 7 of their last 10. The Ravens have been good at home this season and own a 4-2 Record in home games. Great value parlaying these two teams to win straight up. Lfg.
NHL:
Sharks (-150) - We get a matchup with two teams who have been mirror images of each other in their last 5. The Sharks have won 4 out of their last 5. The Blackhawks have lost 4 out of their last 5 and the Blackhawks continue to allow their opponents to score at will. They are allowing 3.74 goals per game and they have let their opponents score 4 or more goals in 10 of their last 13 games. That trend should continue tonight and the Sharks should get this win for us.