2-1 for another winning night and we are 5-1 in our last two days. We are in prime position for a HUGE Saturday so let’s get to the picks!
Memphis / Wake Forest Over (72.5) - This matchup has over written all over it. Both of these teams have powerful offenses and bad defenses. Memphis comes in averaging 43.6 points per game and allowing 31.5 points per game. Wake Forest comes in scoring 32.5 points per game and allowing 33.3 points per game. The average point total in Memphis games this year is 75 ppg. The average point total in Wake Forest games is 65 ppg but a matchup against #4 Clemson and that defense brings that total down since WF only scored 3 points in that game. Both of these teams want to score and then score again so this one should be a shootout. Memphis relies heavily on their running game and they come into this one with the 3rd ranked rushing offense and it will be a great matchup for them today because the Wake Forest rush defense ranks 95 out of 130 allowing over 200 rushing yards per game. Memphis will be without their top running back but Patrick Taylor Jr. shouldn’t have a problem filling his shoes in a big way against this WF defense. Wake Forest is coming off of a game where they scored 59 points against Duke. Let’s look at some of the point totals these teams had this season - 100, 98, 97, 91, 87, 83, 80….yeah, I like the OVER in this one. LFG!
Nuggets (Even) - The Nuggets are riding a 4 game winning streak and they have sole possession of first place in the Western Conference. Not sure how the Nuggets aren’t favored by 5+ in this game but we will take it. The Clippers are coming off of a 4 point win against the Mavs who are now 2-12 on the road. Before that, the Clippers had lost 6 of 7. These two teams played eachother in the first game of the season and the Nuggets won 107-98. We can expect to see a similar result tonight.
Flames (-1.5) - The Flames have lost two games in a row and are coming off of a tough loss to the best team in hockey where they lost 5-4. However, the best part about their matchup tonight is that they played this same Blues team 6 days ago and beat them 7-2. That game was in St Louis and this one will be home in Calgary. The Blues have been outscored 27-7 in their last 5 losses and have only covered the +1.5 puck line in one of those games. I’m feeling confident that the Flames light it up today.
Lightning (-145) - The best team in hockey at another good price! Tampa has won 15 of their last 18 and they take on an Oilers team tonight who they beat 5-2 earlier this season on 11/6. The Oilers have lost 3 of their last 5 and the the last 2 have been by 2 goals or more. No need to take the puck line in this one though, -145 is not a bad price for this matchup! Go Bolts!
Ravens / Chargers Over (41.5) - Second game in a row that we are taking the over in a Chargers game and let’s hope this one isn’t as close as the last one - 4 seconds left in the game. Both of these offenses have been good this season - the Ravens come in averaging 24.4 points per game and the Chargers come in averaging 28.2 points per game. Both defenses have been good as well allowing 18.1 and 21.3. However, I do feel like those defensive stats are a little skewed because neither of these teams has played a real “tough” schedule this season (I’ll say it). We look at the recent results and the Chargers have gone over 41.5 in 5 games straight and the Ravens have gone over 41.5 in 4 of their last 5. Nothing like cheering for an over on a Saturday night.