12/27 VIP Picks



Georgia Tech burns us twice and then Cal gags in the second half and loses in overtime - what an ugly game that was. I’ll blame the last two days on the fact that we kind of had to put all our eggs in one basket with the limited action available. Today we have plenty of action on the menu with a full slate of NCAAF, NBA, and NHL. You all may have seen the announcement that I’m hiring sales reps, it’s true. Things have been getting really busy lately and I’m at the point where I need to start growing the team to take some of the load off of me. I want to be able to focus on writing 100% and have a team taking care of the marketing. If any of you are interested in this, shoot me an email and I can give you the details. Now, let’s get to the picks! Big day today.

NCAAF:

Temple (-3) - Buying this down to 3 from 3.5 even though it probably won’t matter because the public money is on Duke in this one. Why though? Duke has been outscored 94-13 in their last two games. Yes, one of them was against Clemson but they other was against a 7-6 Wake Forest Team. Temple had a nice full speed practice in their final game against Uconn and got the 50 point win. They also won 3 of their last 4 prior to that and all three wins were against Bowl teams. The one loss came to #12 UCF and they only lost by 12. All the talk in this game is about Duke QB Daniel Jones playing his last game and that he should go into the NFL draft because it’s a weak QB class. Yes, when you have a guy like Jones who is said to be highly thought of by NFL scouts when he has thrown for less than 160 passing yards in 3 of his last 4 games, it’s a weak draft class. Jones will likely struggle again today against this Temple pass defense that is ranked #5 in the country allowing just 158 passing yards per game. Duke ranks 114th against the run so Temple will look to get RB Ryquell Armstead going and then QB Anthony Russo can make plays down the field off of that.

Miami (-2.5) - Yes, this game is in Yankee Stadium and yes, people are all worried about the Miami players not being able to handle the cold weather. It’s going to be 40 degrees at kick off. It’s not like it’s going to be 10 below. These teams played in the Capital One Bowl last year and if you bet on Miami last year, your credit is still hurting. Wisconsin won 34-24 and Alex Hornibrook threw for 4 touchdowns. 70% of the public money is on Wisconsin and they are all believers in the Miami can’t handle the cold and “Hornibrook threw for fucking 4 touchdowns against them last year.” Bullshit. This year is different. The Miami passing defense was ranked 50th in College Football last year allowing 216 passing yards per game. This year is different, they rank 4th in College Football allowing just under 150 passing yards per game. Turnovers anyone? The Miami defense “Turnover Chain” has become popular and I can guarantee that we will see it tonight. This Wisconsin team has struggled to protect the ball all season and they have 23 turnovers so far which ranks 89th in the country. N’Kosi Perry will be starting at QB for Miami and they are 5-1 in games that he’s led the team in passing yards compared to 2-4 when Malik Rosier has led the team in passing yards. Wisconsin has a handful of ugly losses this season and I think we see another tonight. The Miami defense should be able to force multiple turnovers and this Miami offense is better with Perry under center. Hurricanes -2.5.

***UPDATE*** Miami will be going with Rosier instead of Perry apparently due to some shit that went down on Perry's snapchat. I am still riding with Miami in this one based on their defense against the Wiscy offense who turns the ball over.

NHL:

Capitals (-165) - Pricy moneyline here but we need to put together a hot streak. The Caps beat the Hurricanes a couple of weeks ago 6-5 in a shootout. The Caps have been absolutely rolling and have won 16 of their last 20. The Hurricanes have been the opposite and they have lost 8 of their last 11. Yeah, they played the Caps tough in their last game against them but that game was in Carolina and tonight’s game is in Washington. The Caps have only lost 2 games at home since November 11. #ALLCAPS

Parlay:

Bruins ML / Lightning ML (+119) - Some may say this one is a “cheap” play but based on the odds it’s the most VALUABLE play of the night. The Bruins have been a streaky team this season and they have won 3 of their last 4 - all by 2 goals or more. No need to take the puck line, we just want them to win straight up in this one. The Devils are BAAAAAAAAD and they are 4-14 in their last 18 games. The Devils also haven’t won a road game in almost a month and to no surprise, that was against the second worst team in the league. Then we get the best team in the league Lightning who are 14-2 in their last 16 games. They will take on the Flyers who they have already beat this season. The Flyers are 3-5 in their last 8 and they have lost 7-1, 5-1, and 4-1 during that stretch. Lightning should get this win at home tonight for us.

#VIP