2-1 last night with ANOTHER JACKHAMMER win! Texas A&M covers the teased over themselves and we go into the new year with an easy winning night and just a knee away from Stanford covering with time running out. We will take it! I hope you all had a great New Year’s Eve with family and friends. We are on to 2019 and it’s going to be the best year yet for KOOOOOOOOOOOOOOFSPORTS!!
LSU (-0.5) / Mississippi State (-1) - Alright alright here we go with two SEC schools taking on non SEC schools and the difference in the athletic ability will be the differences in these games today. The UCF winning streak is at risk today against a very good LSU team. If we take a look at who these teams played this season, the only bright spot on UCF’s schedule is a big win over #24 Cinci. LSU beat #8 Miami, #7 Auburn, and #2 Georgia. They also played a tough 3 overtime game that they lost 74-72 to Texas A&M. LSU has clearly played a tougher schedule. The weak link for UCF is their running defense which ranks 117 out of 130 in the country allowing 227.4 rushing yards per game. LSU QB Jake Burrow has been good this year but he is far from a gunslinger. I am expecting LSU to come in with a run first approach and that will allow them to control this game. That will allow them to win this one and I think they could win it comfortably. Mississippi State has the #1 defense in College Football in points allowed per game at 12.5. That will be a tough matchup for this Iowa team that hasn’t seen a defense on this level all season. Similar to the first matchup, Miss State just seems like the much better and more experienced team here. I think their D will be so dominant that it may be one of those games where it looks like these two teams shouldn’t be on the same field with eachother. *cough cough like Auburn/Purdue on Friday cough cough*
Added 11:45 a.m. est.
Ohio State / Washington Over (56) - Washington State comes in with the 6th ranked defense in points allowed per game this season but let’s not kid ourselves that they didn’t play against any prolific offenses this season. That’s exactly what Ohio State is and they come into this game scoring 43 points per game. I’m not concerned about this Ohio State offense matching up with this Washington defense because on November 24, Ohio State went into a game against the #1 defense at the time (Michigan) and dropped 62 on them. The Washington offense isn’t as powerful as Ohio State’s but they still averaged 26 points per game. I look at this game as one where Ohio State will be pushing the pace and Washington will have no choice but to try their best to keep up with them. I don’t think they will be able to, but I do think that the over will hit in this one.
Texas (+11.5) - I think that 11.5 is too much in this game. Georgia is a GREAT football team and in my eyes, they should have been in the College Football Playoff over Oklahoma but that’s why I pick winners on my own personal blog and I don’t work for the selection committee. Imagine if I did though? I could set up matchups that would favor our bets. I might look into that gig. Anyways, Georgia thought that they should be in the Playoff as well and this one has the classic let down/non motivated game written all over it for them. Texas was a solid squad this season and they actually beat Oklahoma 48-45 back on October 6th. The Georgia offense relies on the run and they have been a run first team all season. Texas ranks 30th against the run so they aren’t a top defense but still respectable. I think their run defense will be good enough tonight to allow them to hang in this game and have a chance to win it outright at the end. Make no mistake that he spread is what I’ll be playing in this one but if you’re looking for a heat check play or just looking to start your 2019 with a BANG, the +350 might be worth .25 or .5 units paying out 3.5 to 1.