Not a good time for our winning streak to snap but I can’t control the games, I just put the stats together to put us in the best position to win and it doesn’t always work out. The losses are on me though! I said in the write up for the teaser I had no doubt the Colts would win that game and we still played the teaser which seemed like easier money. The turning point in that game was in the first half when the Texans were down in the Red Zone and a blatant facemask wasn’t called so it forced 4th and 1. Watson was throwing the ball into the ground all day though and that Texans offense sucked. Luck was well on his way to the bonus player prop until this game turned one sided. As for the Seahawks, should have taken the points instead of taking them straight up. Credit to the Cowboys and Dak made some plays to earn some respect. Coulda, shoulda, woulda - you can’t play that game in sportsbetting. We lost yesterday, I take full responsibility for it, and I’m ready to move on to today. Let’s go.
Ravens (-2.5) - 74% of the public money is on the Chargers in this game and I’m not sure why? These two teams just played in L.A. two weeks ago and the Ravens absolutely dominated them. The Chargers couldn’t get anything going on offense all night and they only put up 10 points. This Ravens defense is ranked top 5 against the run and the pass #3 and #5. The defense and what they did against the Chargers two weeks ago is what makes me the most confident in this pick. Lamar Jackson was tough for the Chargers defense to stop and I think they will have the same trouble stopping him today. Jackson seems like the type of guy who can handle the playoff pressure so I’m not concerned about that. It shouldn’t take too much scoring from the Ravens today to cover this -2.5. Home field, better defense, playoffs - give me the Ravens.
Eagles (+220) - Don’t ask me if I didn’t learn my lesson from the Seahawks last night. If you want to take the Eagles with the points in this one to be safe, that’s fine. I am taking the moneyline. The Eagles are 3-1 in games that Nick Foles started at QB. The most impressive game was a few weeks ago when they went on the road and beat the LA Rams 30-23. Do I believe in this Bears team? Sure, their defense is top 10 against both the pass and the run. However, I don’t know if I trust their offense or Mitch Trubisky. There’s just something about Nick Foles that has me all over the Eagles in this game today. Let’s not forget that this Eagles team led by Nick Foles beat Tom Brady and the Patriots in the Superbowl last year in agame where the Patriots didn’t punt the ball one time. There will be more defense in this game than that one but the defending champs have the edge in this game with Nick Foles on their side who seems to always get it done in the big moment. Take the points if you want to play it safe but that moneyline pays out over 2 to 1 odds.
Capitals (-170) - I wanted to find a parlay piece for this one to get better odds but there’s nothing else that looks really good. The Capitals have lost three straight but they will get back on track today against a Red Wings team who they are 2-0 against this season and have outscored 9-3 in those games. The Red Wings are coming off of an overtime win against the Predators but they lost 6 games in a row before that. Both teams get back to their ways in this one - Caps winning - Red Wings losing.