4/2 VIP Picks



2-1 last night and although it wasn’t a huge profitable night, it was still a profitable night and we are now 6-2 in our last two days. The Cubs were just plain and simple playing sloppy fucking baseball and they cost us the 3-0 night last night. Let’s see what we have tonight to keep building on our current streak.

MLB:

Paray:

6:35 EST

Yankees (Tanaka) / Astros (Verlander) (+113) - Oh I love baseball parlays with matchups like this. The Yanks will be without Stanton and Andujar but the rest of the lineup still has a .302 avg in 63 at bats against Jordan Zimmerman. The Yanks beat Zimmerman 7-5 at Yankee Stadium last August. 5 of the 9 players in the Yankees lineup have an extra base hit off of Zimmerman in their lifetime matchup against him. The Tigers lineup hasn’t done much at all against Tanaka before and he has held them to a .200 avg in 50 career at bats. Tanaka looked good in his Opening Day start against the Orioles going 5.2 innings while only allowing 1 run. This Tigers lineup is about as dangerous as the Orioles lineup (not that dangerous).  The Astros will be up against the Rangers who they beat last night and starting pitcher Shelby Miller who comes over the the American League from the National League. Shelby Miller made 5 pitching appearances last season, he gave up 21 runs in 16 innings to the Rockies, Padres, Giants, and Marlins. The Padres, Giants, and Marlins were the bottom three teams in the league in runs per game last season and this Astros lineup was 5th. Not a lot of head to head history for the Astros against Miller but my point is that this guy got hit hard by much worse lineups last year. I’d expect the Astros to have a pretty good game tonight against him. Verlander is on the hill for the Astros and he is coming off of his Opening Day start were he only allowed 1 run over 7 innings against the Rays in a 5-1 win. This parlay is great value for the matchups we have in these two games.

7:10 EST

Mets (Vargas) (-128) - The Mets have started out hot and come into tonight’s game 3-1 on the season with the one loss coming on a late walk off homerun against the Nationals. They beat this Marlins team 7-3 last night. Jason Vargas gets the nod for the Mets and he finished last season strong by winning 6 of his final 7 games while allowing 2 runs or less in all 6 of those wins. He went 5 scoreless innings while only allowing 2 hits against the Marlins in Miami early last season. Jose Urena is listed as day to day due to a knee injury from blowing his first start of the season when he allowed 9 hits and 6 runs in 4.2 innings against the Rockies. All jokes aside, Urena had 12 starts last season where he gave up 4 runs or more. The Mets lineup comes in ranked 6th with 6.25 runs per game this season. I like the Mets to stay hot and the Marlins were listed as my pre season best team to bet against so let’s get to it. Let’s go Mets!

10:10 EST

Diamondbacks (Greinke) (-101) - The Diamondbacks seemed to be happy to play someone other than the high powered Dodgers last night when they beat the Padres 10-3. They will be taking on Padres pitcher Eric Lauer tonight who actually went 2-0 against them last year but the DBacks hit him hard and come in with a .423 avg and .500 slg%. With a little timely hitting in those games last year, they could have run ruled him. The DBacks left 9 runners on base in the first matchup and 14 runners on base in the second matchup against Lauer. Zack Greinke will start for the DBacks and he has held this Padres lineup to a .235 avg in a large sample size of 136 at bats. The Padres highest paid player Manny Machado is 1-7 against Greinke lifetime. Great matchup here that pays out even money. Thank you!

NHL:

Not playing any NHL picks tonight but wanted to share with you guys where my head is at. The last week of the regular season is always a toss up. There is a good matchup tonight with the Penguins taking on the Red Wings and the Pens can clinch a playoff berth with a victory. HOWEVER, the moneyline is -205 and the Red Wings have won 7 of their last 8. This game is also in Detroit and these same two teams will play again in Pittsburgh on Thursday night. It just scares me a little bit that the Pens have that mindset of, “well if we don’t get em tonight, we will get em Thursday.” If the moneyline was -140ish I would be all over the Pens but -205 is steep based on the situation.

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