5/5 VIP Picks


Not a great showing in the derby but our sports bets went 3-1 last night. That puts us in position to be able to close out another winning week with a winning day today. Let’s see what we have for a Cinco de Mayo Fiesta.

MLB:

1:10 EST

Braves (Teheran) (-115) - What better place to start out the Cinco de Mayo party than Miami? The Braves will go for the sweep against the Marlins today and they have out scored them 16-4 in the first two games of this series. The moneyline is where it’s at because Julio Teheran has had three tough starts in a row but he has good history against this Marlins lineup holding them to a .243 avg in 140 at bats. The Braves lineup has a .310 avg & .552 slg% in 58 at bats against our boy Pablo Lopez. Seems like every time we bet against him he gets smashed around and I think that will be the case today. This is a great moneyline for this matchup.

2:10 EST

Parlay

Red Sox ML / Astros ML (+128) - These two teams outscored their opponents by 25 runs combined yesterday. That’s crazy. The Red Sox have now won 4 out of their last 5 and their offense seems to have come alive scoring 5+ runs in all of those 4 wins. Porcello is coming off of 8 scoreless innings in his last start so I’m expecting him to be good today against this White Sox lineup. White Sox start Dylan Covey allowed 1 run in his last start without getting a single out. The Astros will have their ace Justin Verlander going and he has held this Angels lineup to a .163 avg in 178 at bats. The Astros will look to stay hot against Angels pitcher Matt Harvey and his 6.54 earned run average. How’s that saying go? “Let’s. Fucking. Go.”

3:10 EST

Diamondbacks (+128) - I thought the Braves was good value then I stumbled upon this one. This DBacks lineup has scored 9 and 10 runs in their last two games against the Rockies winning both and are going for the sweep today. There’s no reason to think that they won’t put up another 10 spot today going against Rockies starter German Marquez who they have a .338 avg & .577 slg% against in 71 at bats. They should hit him hard today. Zach Greinke will pitch for the DBacks and he comes in 5-1 on the season. He has held this Rockies lineup to a .230 avg in a HUGE sample size of 283 at bats. DBacks at Plus money seems like a gift from the betting gods today.

7:00 EST

Cardinals (Wainwright) (+130) - another “underdog” with a great matchup today. The Cardinals will face Jose Quintana who they have smoked like a cigar in the past and come in with a .345 avg in 116 career at bats against him. Adam Wainwright will pitch for the Cardinals and although he’s not who he once was, he is still a solid starting pitcher and he has always been good against the Cubs holding them to a .219 lifetime avg. Wainwright is 11-3 at Wrigley Field in his career. The Cubs have won 6 in a row but that streak ends tonight on Sunday Night Baseball.

NBA:

7:00 EST

Nuggets / Blazers Over (210.5) - I didn’t think it was possible for these teams to miss more shots in Game 3 than the 113 they missed in Game 2 but then they go four overtimes and miss 137 combined shots. We had the over and needed the overtime period to secure that victory. It was 102-102 at the end of regulation and these teams were not great offensively. They are capable of much more and now the final scores of the games played between these two teams in Portland have totals of 223, 225, and 277. I really like this number at 210.5 tonight we just need 106-105 and I think these teams will each be able to make 2 more layups in regulation than they did in Game 3. Look for this one to go over.

#VIP #Kofsports