5/18 VIP Picks

Ok so we lose a couple bets which we weren’t expecting to do but we still had a winning night thanks to the the JACKHAMMER hitting. We profit one or two units depending on how hard you hit the hammer. Congrats to one of you who hit the biggest bet of your life on a game that was never in question. 7-2-1 over the last three days and we need a big Saturday/Sunday to close out the week. We have MLB, NBA, and The Preakness Stakes today, let’s see what we’ve got!


4:10 EST

Dodgers (Buehler) (-145) - JACKHAMMER - We had the Dodgers as our JACKHAMMER last night and we might as well double down on them today, especially with the matchup that they have. They will have Walker Buehler starting on the bump today and he has held this Reds lineup to a .207 avg in 29 at bats which is about a one full game sample size. On top of that, he has held his opponents to 3 earned runs or less in his last 5 starts. The Dodgers lineup will be up against Reds starter Tyler Mahle who they come in with a .375 avg in 32 at bats. I’m expecting the Dodgers to stay hot today and Buehler to hold this Reds lineup in check.

4:10 EST

Mets (Matz) (-125) - We also took the Mets last night but deGrom allowed 7 runs over 5 innings after only allowing 1 run in the first 14 innings he pitched against the Marlins this season. Let’s take them again today where they will be up against Pablo Lopez who they scored 10 earned runs in 3 innings against last Sunday. Sign me up for this matchup any day of the week. They have a .435 avg and .826 slg% in 23 at bats against him. Steven Matz will start for the Mets and he has good history against this Marlins and has held them to a .243 avg in 70 at bats. Great value on such a favorable matchup in this one, LGM!

4:10 EST

Athletics (-115) - The books are giving us -115 odds for a team who is facing a team that has lost five games in a row and they have outscored them 24-5 in the first two games of this series. The A’s bats have been good in this series and that should continue today. They will be up against Matthew Boyd who only Five Guys in their lineup have history against but they have a .324 avg and .529 slg% in 34 at bats against him. Daniel Mengden will start for the A’s and only Five Guys in the Tigers lineup have faced him, he has held them to a .214 avg in a very small sample size of 14 at bats. This Tigers lineup has scored 3 runs or less in 4 of their last 5 games, the struggle is real! Disclaimer - this pick is not sponsored by Five Guys but if you end up getting a burger from Five Guys today, this pick can be sponsored by Five Guys. Go A’s!

7:15 EST

Cubs (Lester) (+115) - Let the good value continue with this matchup tonight. Jon Lester will start for the Cubs and he is currently on a 19.2 inning scoreless streak. He’s also only allowed 5 earned runs in 38 innings pitched this season. He has decent numbers against this Nationals lineup holding them to a .256 avg in 133 at bats. This Cubs lineup scored 14 runs against the Nats last night and they will be up against Stephen Strasburg tonight who they have been good against in the past - they come in with a .284 avg in 102 at bats against him. I like the Cubs at plus money in this matchup tonight.

Preakness Stakes:

6:30 EST

To Win:

Improbable (5/2) - It’s tough to bet on this race after seeing how fixed the last one was but I know we all want action on the race today so this is the horse I’m most confident in. Is that to say that there won’t be a challenge and disqualification to fix this race? I hope not because if so, I won’t be touching the Belmont Stakes in a couple of weeks. There have been seven total horses that were trained by Baffert that have won the Preakness so I’m confident and I do believe Improbable is the best horse in this race. I also believe that he was the best horse in the Kentucky Derby but he never had anywhere to go. All of the horses that finished ahead of Improbable in the Kentucky Derby will not be racing today so that opens up the door for him to take this one in a rather weak field. He also won’t have to worry about his barn mates Game Winner and Roadster who will not be racing today. This one is going to close around even money with all of the public betting him but I think that’s our best option.


9:00 EST

Team Total

Warriors Over (110) - Let’s go for our third day in a row hitting a team total in an NBA playoff game. The Warriors have gone over 110 in 11 of their 14 playoff games, that’s 79%. “But Kof, the Dubs are on the road so they will probably struggle offensively.” I don’t want to hear that shit, the Dubs are averaging 120 points per game in their road playoff games this season. Even when this team struggles for a stretch in the game, they make up for it by scoring 10+ points within short period of time. I do expect this game to be close like Game 2 was, especially with the Blazers getting that home court advantage but I don’t think the Warriors team total will be as close tonight as it was on Thursday. Let’s Go Warriors!