10/19 VIP Picks

Much needed football Saturday, LFG!


Straight Plays:

12:00 EST

West Virginia / Oklahoma Over (64.5) - Oklahoma is right up there with the top 3 offenses in the country averaging 50.2 points per game. This West Virginia defense has allowed 38, 38, & 42 this season to worse offenses. The game that sticks out on WVU’s schedule is when they squared off with Texas and there were 73 points scored. Oklahoma and Texas put up 61 last week. Oklahoma has put up 34, 45, 55, 48, & 70 in their last 5. I expect Oklahoma to put up 40+ so that leaves us with West Virginia coming up with 2 or 3 scores. The Oklahoma defense has allowed 20.3 points per game and the defensive intensity level usually drops in blowout wins which I expect this to be for Oklahoma. I could see 48-21 easily in this one or even more. 

3:30 EST

Oregon (-3) - Oregon lost their first game of the season on a last minute touchdown but they have rolled ever since out scoring their opponents by 170 points during their 5 game winning streak. Washington has been up and down but their two losses to Cal and Stanford do not look good on their resume. QB Justin Herbert has been phenomenal for the Ducks and has thrown 17 touchdown passes to just 1 interception while completing 71% of his passing attempts which ranks Top 15 in the Nation. The Ducks rank #5 in turnover margin at +9 and that’s a good stat going against a Washington offense who has fumbled 4 times and thrown 3 picks this season. Washington has lost the games that they have thrown picks in. I think this game will be close but the difference will be the Oregon defenses ability to force a turnover or two and take advantage. I also like Oregon’s defense who has allowed 10+ less points per game than Washington. I think the Ducks keep their winning streak alive today.

7:00 EST

Tulane / Memphis Over (59) - Both of these teams have the fire power to blow 59 out of the water tonight. Tulane comes in averaging 39.2 points per game and they have scored 49, 42, 38, & 58 in their last 4 games. Memphis comes in averaging 37.8 points per game and they have scored 35, 42, 52, & 55 in 4 of their last 5 games. Getting 30 a side doesn’t seem like it’ll be an issue. This one should be a fucking track meet. Over!

9:00 EST 

Tennessee / BAMA Over (61) - 4 of the last 5 games have gone over 61 for Bama. They have been lighting up the scoreboard scoring 47, 59, 49, 47, & 62. Yeah, they covered 61 themselves even though it was only against New Mexico Stare. People are talking about how this Tennessee defense has improved but they have allowed 43 and 34 points to 2 of their last 3 opponents. Bama should be able to get whatever they want against the Vols defense. Bama has always been known for their strong defense which is good again this year but they have allowed and average of 27.3 points per game to their last three SEC opponents. Tennessee has averaged 23 points per game this season. If they can get to that point tonight, this game should go way over.

Teaser selections:

Play in groups of 2 to be most profitable:

Penn State (-2)

LSU (-12.5)

Baylor (+10.5)

Texas (-15)

Temple / SMU Over (54)

Texas A&M (0)


8:08 EST

Bullpen day for both teams and that really sets up an unpredictable game. I was hoping the Astros would go for the kill tonight with Cole on short rest but they are going with the bullpen. Although if they get a lead I wouldn’t be surprised to see Cole come out of the pen. Both bullpens were top 10 during the regular season. I just can’t get behind betting this game tonight. I’d rather just go play one spin of roulette to get it over with.