Thanksgiving VIP Picks

2-1 last night with another JACKHAMMER win puts us at 7-1 with 2 hammers on the week. Let’s have ourselves a BIG day today! Those of you who also got the Clippers in your hammer still hit and it was +135! The KOFSPORTS Thanksgiving tradition is to rank the confidence level of each pick by assigning a type of food with it. Happy Thanksgiving to each and every one of you! I hope you all enjoy the day with family and friends AND of course....FOOTBALL!

NFL:

12:30 EST

MASHED POTATOES 🥔 - This one is going to be a major part of our day/meal. It’s not the most confident play of the day but it’s a pretty close second. 4th ranked Bears defense against a 3rd string, undrafted QB?  Put a little extra gravy on this one!

Bears (-6) - There’s no question that the Bears have underperformed this season (compared to their expectations) and a big reason for that is because this offense has struggled. The defense has been great and currently ranks 4th in the league holding their opponents to 17.1 points per game. These two just played a few weeks ago and the Bears came away with the 20-13 win. That was against Lions back up QB Jeff Driskel. Stafford is out today and so is  Driskel. The Lions will start an undrafted 3rd string QB today David Blough and things could get UGLY. This guy threw 43 interceptions in 44 career games at Purdue. That’s probably why he wasn’t drafted. The Bears defense should be licking their chops for this matchup. The Bears offense should get going today against this Lions defense who has allowed 26.5 points per game this season. Trubisky threw for 3 touchdowns against the Lions in their first meeting which tied his season high. There just doesn’t seem to be much hope for this Lions team who is relying on an undrafted 3rd string QB. This Bears defense will be tough for the Lions to do much against. Give me, DA BEARS!

4:30 EST

STUFFING 🍞🥖 - here’s the part of the meal that I feel goes under rated every year.  You can’t fill up on stuffing but it is an essential part of the meal. Hold the gravy but definitely get one scoop of stuffing today.

Cowboys (-6.5) - I’m shocked but everyone is on the Bills in this game today. These two teams have 14 wins combined but only 1 of those 14 wins came against a team with a winning record!! We look at the Cowboys who just lost a close game in tough weather against the Patriots. Their front office and coaching seem to be a mess this week. BUT, they will be home, in a controlled weather environment where they have averaged 30.2 points per game this season. The Bills defense has been good this season but I think their offense will struggle to keep up with the Cowboys. The Cowboys also have a +85 point differential this season. This is a BIG game for the Cowboys because the Eagles are right behind them in the NFC East standings and SPOILER ALERT - whoever doesn’t win the NFC EAST probably isn’t making the playoffs. Big spot for the Cowboys and I like them at home today with 60% of the public money on the Bills. 

8:20 EST

TURKEY LEG 🍗 - This is the BEST part and there’s plenty of meat for everyone. No fighting with your uncles over who gets the turkey leg, everyone gets one today!

Teaser:

Saints (-1) / Over (42.5) - These two teams just played a few weeks ago and the Falcons embarrassed the Saints 26-9 in New Orleans. However, the Saints are still 9-2 on the season which has them in the hunt for the #1 seed in the NFC. They are coming off of an emotional win against the Panthers where they kicked a last second field goal for the win. The Saints have scored 34 points in each of their last two games since that loss to the Falcons. I think we will see this Saints offense come alive against this Falcons defense that has allowed an average of 27 points per game. Michael Thomas has five straight games with over 100 receiving yards so look for him to go off again tonight. Julio Jones is questionable but this Falcons offense has resurrected itself the last three weeks scoring 26, 29, & 22. I like the Saints to win and I like this one to go over 42.5. 

8:20 EST

PUMPKIN PIE 🥧 🎃 - After the meal, you always need to grab a slice (or two) of pie. My go to choice has always been pumpkin pie. EXTRA WHIP CREAM ON TOP. LFG!

Player Prop:

Michael Thomas Total Receiving Yards Over (110.5) - Michael Thomas has been absolutely going off as of late, so much that people are trying to insert him into the MVP conversation. He has gone over 100 receiving yards in each of his last five games and had his best game out of those five against this Falcons defense on Nov 10 when he put up 152 receiving yards! I don’t see the Falcons slowing him down tonight!

12:30 EST

LATE NIGHT MUNCHIES - 🍗🥖🥔🥧🍖 - This is the one when you come back for more after your nap and or drinking for 6 hours. Dunking the turkey leg in the mashed potatoes, eating stuffing with your fingers, eating the pumpkin pie, and eating the whipped cream from the bottle. Yeah, some may say this is the best part of the day. Even those who don’t agree that this is the best part, you can agree that there’s a really good chance that it’s going to happen 😜

Parlay: 

Bears ML / Cowboys ML / Saints ML (+145) - JACKHAMMER - Better odds taking the moneylines than the teasers in these games. You can see the breakdowns for each game above but this is the most confident play of the day! SMASH IT!

HAPPY THANKSGIVING! I will not be checking my phone (as much as normal) today as I take the day to spend quality time with family. Enjoy!