11/30 VIP Picks

2-3 day yesterday....Iowa was up 24-10 at half and was only able to score 3 points in the second half. What the fuck? The Celtics sucked. Added the Clippers late and Paul George scored 5 whole points. It’s all about College Football today so let’s go for one of the BIG Saturdays we have been known to have. 

CFB:

Straight Plays:

12:00 EST 

Ohio State (-9) - Ohio State has won 9 of the last 10 head to head matchups between these two teams and 7 of those wins came by 10 points or more. This team this year looks like the best Ohio State team over the last 10 years and they are GOING TO WIN THE NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP! Ohio State will be on the road today but they are 4-0 on the road this season while winning those games by an average of 41.2 points per game. Another impressive stat for the Buckeyes is that they are 3-0 against Top 25 teams and they won all three of those games by 10+ points. They beat Wisconsin 38-7 who Michigan lost to 35-14. OSU beat Penn State 28-17 who Michigan lost to 28-21. Michigan has struggled against good defenses this year where they only scored 14 vs Wisconsin, 10 vs Iowa, & 21 vs Penn State. This Ohio State defense (#3 ranked) will be the best defense they have seen this season and I expect them to struggle. Michigan’s defense is also top 10 but the Ohio State offense has already scored 28 & 38 vs top 10 defenses this season. Give me the Buckeyes to win this one by ATLEAST two scores. 

3:30 EST

Alabama (-3) - Alabama lost QB Tua Tagovailoa for the season but their playoff hopes are still alive. His replacement Mac Jones went 10-12 for 275 yards and 3 touchdowns in a 66-3 win last week over W Carolina. He also went 18-22 for 235 yards and 3 touchdowns against Arkansas. Those defenses aren’t even close to the Auburn defense he will face today but let’s not forget that he has four of the Nations top wide receivers. A simple screen pass could go for a 70 yard touchdown at any time with these guys. Auburn has gone 2-3 against ranked opponents this year and freshman QB Bo Nix has struggled in those three losses. Nix has only completed 50% of his passes against those opponents and he has thrown 6 interceptions in the 4 games against ranked opponents. Look for the Bama defense to force a turnover or two today and that’ll be the difference in this game. ROLL. DAMN. TIDE. 

3:30 EST

Baylor (-14) - Baylor will go on the road to take on Kansas today and Kansas is just 1-7 against Big 12 opponents. Kansas has also lost 5 of those 7 games by 10 points or more. Another thing that points to Baylor winning big today is the common opponent results. Kansas lost 38-10 against Kansas State and Baylor beat them 31-12. Kansas lost 31-13 to Oklahoma State and Baylor beat them 45-27. Kansas lost 41-31 against Iowa State and Baylor beat them 23-21. Kansas lost 45-20 to Oklahoma and Baylor lost 34-31 after blowing a 28-3 lead to them. Baylor bounced back with a 24-10 win over Texas last week who Kansas has also lost to this season. The Kansas defense has flat out sucked this year allowing 33.8 points per game and I don’t think they will be able to keep pace with this Baylor offense who has averaged 34 ppg this season and should get it going today. 

Teaser Selections:

Play in groups of 2 to be most profitable.

Florida (-11.5) 

Vanderbilt (+28)

Wisconsin / Minnesota Under (51.5) - Rain and 18 mph wind 💨 

Oklahoma / Oklahoma State Over (63)

NBA:

5:00 EST

Nuggets (-4.5) - The Nuggets have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games and they have the best defense in the league right now holding opponents to 101.9 points per game. They already beat the Kings this season 101-94 and that game was also in Sacramento. The Nuggets have been good on the road this season with a 5-1 record coming into tonight’s matchup. The Kings return home from a road trip but they have lost 3 of their last 4 games. I like the Nuggets to cover for us tonight.