12/6 VIP Picks

FUCK. That’s the only word I can use to sum up the way I feel after last night. Tough way to lose on the Bruins after they came back from 3-0 in the 3rd just to lose in OT. Should have been a trip or interference called on the final play but no call. First time ever the 2X JACKHAMMER has gone down and that one stings a little extra after being teased with the comeback. That’s two bad breaks this week with the Rockets and now the Bruins. Hopefully the Rockets protest goes through to lessen the blow of last night’s loss. I don’t have much else to say about it, a team who won 8 straight lost to a team who  had lost 6 of their last 7 and a goalie who gave up 5 goals in his last start 🤷🏻‍♂️ Unfortunately I can’t control the outcomes of games, I can only provide the stats & analysis and I’ll continue to do that EVERY. SINGLE. DAY. We’re on to the weekend and what a weekend it’s going to be. 

CFB:

8:00 EST

Teaser:

Oregon (+12.5) / Over (39.5) - All the hype is around #5 Utah making a statement in this game so they can get into the College Football Playoff but I don’t buy it, they may win this game but I think it’ll be close. This line opened at 3 but was quickly bet up to 6.5 so that shows there’s a good chunk of public money on Utah in this one. Utah QB Tyler Huntley has had a solid season throwing 16 touchdowns to just 2 picks and running for another 5 touchdowns. He has led this Utah offense to average 35.6 points per game although this Oregon defense will be the toughest they have seen this season. Oregon has intercepted more passes than they have allowed touchdown passes. Utah RB Zack Moss (leading rusher in the PAC-12) is another big offensive weapon but the Oregon defense ranks #10 against the run. When Oregon has the ball, we will see one of the best offensive lines against one of the best defensive lines. Oregon QB Justin Herbert has thrown for 31 touchdowns this season to 5 interceptions. Both of these defenses are Top 10 in points allowed but you have to factor in that they played 3 ranked opponents combined this season. I expect there to be some offense with these two going head to head tonight with both offenses averaging 35 ppg. I think Oregon has a good chance at winning this game but teasing them to +12.5 with over 39.5 is the high percentage play in this one.

NHL:

10:00 EST

Capitals (-150) - The Caps come in with the 2nd best record in the league at 21-4-5 and they have won the first three games of this road trip by 2 goals or more. Their offense is averaging about a goal more per game than the Ducks. The Ducks have lost 3 of their last 5 and one of those losses was a 6-2 loss to the Lightning who the Caps recently beat. The Caps are the better team in this one and they should prove that when the puck drops tonight. 

NBA:

10:30 EST

Lakers (-4) - The Lakers continue to roll, they have won 9 of their last 10, and come in 19-3 this season. They will be in Portland to take on the Blazers who have won 4 of their last 5 but don’t be fooled, those wins came against bad teams. A very telling sign for this matchup comes by looking at the last four games the Blazers have played against teams with winning records - 117-97 loss to the Clippers, 137-129 loss to the Bucks, 132-108 loss to the Rockets, & 114-106 loss to the Raptors. I expect that trend to continue against the #1 team in the West tonight. Go Lakers!