12/27 VIP Picks

YIKES! Not a good day yesterday. We should have just went with the LA Tech moneyline and followed the hype with that one but the team total came up short. The Pistons came out like they were the best team in the league. Finally, the defenses didn’t show up for either side in the Pitt and E Michigan game. The good news is that we have a TON of action over the next three days to pull out another positive week to close out the year. P.S. - I am looking for some content for the KofSports 2019 year in review. Any of you who send me a video yelling KofSports will get a free week added to your membership. Please email the video to kof@kofsports.com. Let’s get into the Friday picks! CFB: 12:00 EST Teaser: Temple / UNC Over (48.5) / Oklahoma State / Texas A&M Over (47.5) - UNC comes in averaging 31.3 points per game and Temple comes in averaging 27.4 points per game this season. UNC put up 41 and 56 points in their final two games and Temple put up 49 in their final game. UNC Freshman QB Sam Howell came in and threw for 3,347 yards and 35 touchdowns this season which broke the school record. UNC can also run the ball, they averaged 184 rushing yards a game.Temple’s defense struggled against the pass against SMU when they gave up 45 points, 457 passing yards, and 6 touchdowns through the air. They struggled against the run when UCF put up 63 points and ran for 385 yards. I think Sam Howell and this UNC offense will put up some numbers for us today. Then we have Temple who will be looking to throw the ball early and often. Teams have been able to throw on UNC with some injuries in the secondary. Temple QB Anthony Russo has thrown for 2,733 yards and 21 touchdowns this season. The Temple O Line has been good giving him time to throw as well. I see this one turning into a track meet. Then we have Oklahoma State and Texas A&M who both averaged 30+ points per game this season. The key for the OK St offense will be the same that it has been all season, get the Nation’s leading running back Chuba Hubba going early. He ran for 1,936 yards and 21 touchdowns this season. I’m actually surprised he isn’t sitting this game out to prepare for the NFL draft. Texas A&M’s run defense has been solid this season allowing 129 yards per game but this will be the best back they have seen. Texas A&M should be able to throw all over this OK St defense that ranks 113 against the pass. The average total points scored in OK St and Texas A&M games this season is 56.54 points per game. There have been 6 games where either one of these teams or their opponent scored 47+ themselves this season. I like both of these overs today. 3:20 EST Michigan State (-4) - What do both of these teams have in common? They both got blown out by Top 25 teams this season. Wake Forest lost 52-3 to Clemson. Michigan State lost 44-10 to Michigan, 28-7 to Penn State, 38-0 to Wisconsin, and 34-10 to Ohio State. Not a good look but Michigan State played a tougher schedule and I think that experience will help them in this game being played at Yankee Stadium. One takeaway for Michigan State is that they hung around with Ohio State in the first half and it was a 17-10 game with 3 minutes to go in the first half before the Buckeyes exploded for 10 points in the final 2:24 of the first half. Looking at this matchup, it’s hard to imagine Wake Forest being able to match the physicality of this Michigan State team. The Spartans held opponents to 22.7 points per game even with the four blowouts they suffered by Top 25 teams. The Wake Forest defense allowed 29.3 points per game this season and they only played one ranked opponent. The Wake Forest starting QB is questionable to play in this game since he injured his leg in the final game of the regular season, that will slow down his mobility if he does play. Wake Forest will also be without their top receiver due to injury. Michigan State will stay balanced on offense like they have all year and look for QB Brian Lewerke to look for short high percentage passes and feed the rock to running back Elijah Collins who needs 108 rushing yards to become the first 1,000 yard rusher for the Spartans since Jeremy Langford in 2014. Sure Wake Forest has the better record but Michigan State would have gone 11-1 against the teams Wake Forest played this year. I’ll take the Spartans who should overmatch this Wake Forest team. NBA: 7:00 EST Sixers (-150) - It would be the most fixed thing ever if the Sixers had a “let down” game tonight against the Magic after working the best team in the league two days ago. I’m taking the moneyline since the spread is so low in this one but I feel like we can’t pass up the Sixers at -150 against the 13-17 Magic. The Sixers had everything going their way on Christmas Day against the Bucks and outplayed them in every aspect of the game, their largest lead was 29. Quite impressive. That now makes three straight wins of 10 points or more for the Sixers and they have won 7 of their last 10. The Magic have gone 2-6 over their last 8 with the 2 wins coming against the Pelicans and the Bulls. The Magic actually won the first meeting between these two teams but the Sixers were on the second night of a back to back. I like the Sixers to continue to play well tonight and they are simply a better team than the Magic. Cross Sport Parlay: 4:00 EST Celtics ML / Bruins ML (-129) - I realize some of you will not be able to take this parlay because your bookie won’t give you Celtics moneyline but sportsbook.ag and bovada are offering it if you need a book to take it. Obviously I am taking a Boston parlay on the last Friday of the decade. The Celtics have been rolling and have won 4 games in a row including a 16 point win over the Raptors two days ago. The Celts will host the 9-21 Cavs who they have already beat twice this season 110-88 and 119-113. They are favored by 13.5 and we only need them to win straight up for this parlay. There’s a good chance Tacko will get into the game today and we all know he is taking this parlay! Then we have the Bruins who had things clicking in their last game when they beat the league leading Capitals 7-3 after losing 3 straight games in overtime/shootout. I think they will continue to click tonight against the Sabres who have lost 4 of their last 5. The Bruins already beat the Sabres in the first matchup between these two teams this season. NHL: 8:00 EST Blues (-125) - If the books are going to keep giving us good value on the Blues, we are going to keep taking it. They have won 6 games in a row and they have been looking great with 4 of those 6 wins coming by 2 goals or more. They will be on the road tonight and they have won their last two road games by 3 goals each. They will face the Jets who have lost 3 of their last 5 including a 6-2 loss to the Canadiens, 4-1 loss to the Blackhawks, and a 6-3 loss to the Hurricanes. This will be the first matchup for these two teams but they will play again Sunday so let’s keep a close eye on how this one plays out. I think the Blues will get the win for us. No added plays tonight.