1/1 VIP Picks

Ok, we all know it’s been a mediocre/cold streak over the last few weeks. What can we say? It was the end of the year, the books needed to improve their bottom line, and some obvious favorites lost by a million. We bet on sports. We can’t control them but we can predict them, at 60%+ and I’m ready for ANOTHER profitable year. We’re on to 2020. LFG.

1:00 EST

Teaser:

Alabama (-1.5) / Auburn (-1) - Ok, Bama lost their starting QB and they still went 10-2 with a 3 point loss to a good Auburn team and it feels awkward that this team is not in the CFB Playoff for the first time ever. Bama's D has been better than Michigan’s D all season and Bama’s offense has outscored Michigan in 2 of the 3 weeks since Tua got hurt. Michigan’s offense has been slowed down by good defenses this season getting held to 14 against Wisconsin, 10 against Iowa, & 21 against Penn State. They scored 27 against Ohio State but that’s only because OSU scored 56 themselves. The Bama defense will be without a few guys who are sitting out due to the NFL Draft but I still expect this Bama defense to slow down Michigan. Mac Jones will start at QB for Bama and if you take away his 2 pick sixes against Auburn he looked pretty good - 26-39, 335 yards, & 4 touchdowns. He has weapons around him to throw to and hand off to. I like Bama to roll. Then we have Auburn who only lost to LSU by 3 points. They will take on a Minnesota team that has been having a great season. One thing that has really helped the Gophers be so successful is converting on 3rd and 4th down over 50% of the time. I think this Auburn defense will shut them down on 3rd & 4th down more than 50% of the time today. Freshman QB Bo Nix will be leading the Auburn offense and he will be looking for Seth Williams who was his favorite target all season catching 55 passes for 801 yards and 8 touchdowns.  Minnesota has been good against the pass and getting to the QB but the Auburn O line has only allowed 16 sacks this season. Auburn will need to get the run going to be successful and they averaged 211 rushing yards per game this season. With Auburn looking better against better competition and Minnesota losing 2 of their final 3 games to ranked opponents, I’m giving the edge to Auburn in this game. 

5:00 EST

Wisconsin / Oregon Under (52) - More than 80% of the public money is on the over in this game but I’m not sure why. These teams are the 6th & 8th ranked defenses in points allowed this season holding opponents to 15.7 & 16.1 points per game. Oregon averaged 35 point per game but they play in the PAC-12. When they faced an SEC defense they were held to 21 points. Wisconsin also put up 30+ per game this season but looking a bit closer, they went under 52 in 3 of their 5 games against ranked opponents. Wisconsin was also held to a goose egg in the 2nd half of their last game against a good Ohio State team. Wisconsin will pound the rock to Jonathan Taylor which should keep the clock ticking. Both teams have playmakers but I’m expecting both of these Top 10 defenses to show up on the big stage today. Under.

8:45 EST 

Georgia (-4) - Buy the half point even though we probably won’t need it. Georgia will have some key pieces missing as they sit out for the NFL draft including 3 offensive linemen, WR, & D Tackle. However, it IS the University of Georgia and the way they recruit has them prepared with plenty of depth as this will create some opportunities for new guys to step up. UGA covered -4.5 in 3 of their 4 games against ranked opponents this season. The one game that they didn’t was obviously against the best team in the country. Baylor played 1 ranked team this season but they played them twice, losing both. This #2 ranked defense will be something that Baylor has not seen this season. The Dawgs have held opponents to less than 200 passing yards per game, less than 80 rushing yards per game, & 12.1 points per game this season. Baylor is going to struggle offensively, especially if their starting QB Charlie Brewer is ruled out of this game due to his concussion symptoms. Baylor’s defense has been great too but this UGA offense has gone up against better defenses this season and scored 3+ touchdowns. Even with Georgia coming in short handed, I like their defense to be dominant and Jake Fromm will make enough plays to cover -4.5 tonight. 

NHL:

2:00 EST

Predators / Stars Over (5.5) - This over is paying plus money today. 8 of the last 10 combined games for these two teams have gone over 5.5. The Predators have had scores of 6-4, 5-2, 4-3, & 5-4. The Stars have had scores of 4-2, 5-1, 7-4, & 4-3. Giving up goals has been a trend for Nashville all season ranking #26 in goals against per game at 3.29. The good thing is that they average 3.45 goals per game on the offensive end. Dallas has been better defensively and not as potent offensively but the recent trends have me liking the over. An outdoor hockey game in Texas, let’s go for the Texas shootout.