VIP Picks 1/30/24

3-0 or 3-1 depending on if you played the parlay even though Embiid and Maxey were out. Of course the league waited as long as possible to announce that. We will take it to start the week and we are on to tonight with a chance to match or beat the start to the week we had last week 6-1. Let’s target some high percentage plays tonight. 

I am rolling out a ranking system for the plays which has been done in the past but it’s being brought back. Basically I will rate the plays in order of my confidence each day. I'm not going to get into any details of why I like one thing more than the other, it's all in the stats I provide with each pick. Let me know if you have any questions.

NBA:

7:30 EST

Player Prop

Jaylen Brown (BOS) Points Over (23.5) 🥇

• Jaylen has gone off against the Pacers this season with point totals of 40, 31, & 30 in his last 3 against them. He’s gone over 23.5 in 8 of his last 11 against them.

• That has a lot to do with the fact that they focus on limiting opposing teams three point attempt but they rank last in the league in point allowed per game at 60.

• Jaylen can make threes but he has thrived this season by being aggressive, driving to the hole, and getting high percentage shots. 

• Don’t forget how the last game ended when he faced the Pacers where the refs admitted he got fouled with the game on the line but didn’t call it.

• Someone is getting put on a fucking poster tonight, let’s cash in on it.

7:30 EST

Team Total

Knicks Over (116.5) 🥈

• The Knicks have gone over 120 in 3 of their last 5 games and they have the Jazz coming to town tonight.

• The Jazz just allowed 147 to the Nets last night and 153 to the Pelicans last week! They have allowed 5 of their last 6 opponents to go over 116.5.

• The Knicks scored 113 last night vs the Hornets but being up as much as 29 at one point and missing 25 three pointers factored in to them going under 116.5.

• Tonight’s game projects to be closer with the spread at 4.5

8:00 EST

Player Prop

Bruce Brown (TOR) Threes Made O (0.5) 🥉

• There’s some juice on this one but he’d hit a three in 4 out of his last 5 games with the Raptors since getting traded to them. 

• He’s not firing up threes at a high rate by any means, but he takes 2 or 3 and hits 1 of them.

• Going back to before he got traded, he’s hit a three in 9 of his last 10 games.

• RJ Barrett is out and Immanuel Quickley is doubtful for the game tonight so that’s taking 36 ppg out off the floor. I like Brown to benefit from that and keep this streak going of hitting at least one three.