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VIP Picks 10/22/23

4-0! 4-0! 4-0! 4-0!! What a day yesterday and what a week we are having! Let's close it out with another winning day today!


NFL:

1:00 EST

Adjusted Spread

Browns (-2.5)

  • How could the Browns possibly turn around and lose to the Colts a week after beating the 49ers, right?

  • Signs are pointing to Deshaun Watson being back at QB for the Browns since he was a full participant in practice on Friday.

  • The Colts are coming off of a bad loss to the Jags last week where they gave up 37 points!

  • We have seen good things from this Browns defense and I think they will be solid vs the Colts today.

  • Deshaun Watson & the Browns offense should be able to put up enough points for us to get the cover.


1:00 EST

Teaser 7 Point

Lions (+10) / Seahawks (-2)

  • The Lions come in 5-1 & playing on the road hasn’t phased them (3-0).

  • We get one of the best offenses at +10 against a Ravens team who has played a soft schedule.

  • The Lions run defense ranks #1 against the run which is a strong point for the Ravens offense so I like the matchup for the Lions to keep it close.

  • The Seahawks are home vs a bad and banged up Cardinals team that has lost by 2+ scores in each of their last 3 losses.

  • The Seahawks defense has turned in back to back strong performances & the Cardinals have allowed 26, 34, & 35 over their last 3 so the Seahawks should come away with the win here.


4:25 EST

Chiefs (-5.5)

  • Everyone is buying into the “Chargers play the Chiefs close” trends & media story this week. The public bettors are ALL over the Chargers. 

  • But a lot of people are overlooking that the Chargers have the 2nd worst defense in the league as far as yards allowed (391.6) & the Chiefs have a Top 5 defense in that respect.

  • A lot of people are also overlooking that the Chargers are on a short week (they played on Monday) & the Chiefs have had extra time to prepare/rest (they played last Thursday)

  • The Chargers defense just isn’t going to slow down Patrick Mahomes and I know they’ve played close games in recent years but I like the Chiefs to pull away with this one.


4:25 EST

Player Prop Parlay

Pat Mahomes Alt Passing 250+ / Tua Tagovailoa Alt Passing Yards 250+ (-120)

  • Mahomes is going against the worst pass defense in the league and honestly the Chargers have played some weak passing offenses so he should tear it up

  • Mahomes has thrown for 250+ in 4 of his last 5 overall and 4 of his last 5 games against the Chargers

  • Tua is going up against the Eagles & Sam Howell & Kirk Cousins both lit them up through the air so the NFL Passing leader should go for 250+

  • He’s done so in 5 of 6 games & only missed it by 1 yard in that game he went under


MLB:

8:03 EST

Rangers (Eovaldi) (+102)

  • Here we go, another MLB underdog!

  • Framber Valdez will pitch for the Astros & he was fucking horrendous in his 2 playoff starts.

  • 0-2 with an 11.57 ERA & this Rangers lineup scored 5 runs in 2.2 innings against him last Monday.

  • Nathan Eovaldi will pitch for the Rangers & he’s been great in the playoffs. 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA. 

  • The Astros have good history against Eovaldi but he was good enough to beat them last time out & it’s a huge spot tonight which he always seems to get extra juiced up for.

  • Let’s take the Rangers to force a Game 7. 

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