2-1 night for us so some momentum going into tonight. I’m obviously pretty upset with the start we have had to the MLB Playoffs as that’s always been my specialty but the Orioles really fucked up the Wild Card round for us. We have limited the damage though with NFL wins on Monday and Thursday and if you bet every play this week we are slightly down less than a unit going into the weekend so let’s finish the week on a high note with a winning weekend. Now CFB tonight which we have hit at 60% on the season so let’s goooo!
What worked for us last Friday Night? An adjusted team total for a powerful offense. What are we going back to tonight? An adjusted team total for a high powered offense.
CFB:
9:00 EST
Team Total
Oregon Over (34.5) 💪
Same as last week it’s an adjusted team total line that I recommend grabbing if your book offers it (DK does) because 35 is such a key number when you get in this area of scoring and really depends on if Michigan St can fight back at all. It’s -170 on Draftkings but I would rather bet that and risk more to win 1 unit than to bet -110 odds on Over 38.5 even though I think Oregon will go over that number. I’m trying to bet smarter and harder tonight, that’s all.
Oregon has been lighting it up offensively 34 (28 in the first half) last week vs UCLA, 49 (22 in first half) vs Oregon St, and 37 vs Boise St.
Michigan St allowed 38 to #3 Ohio St last week and look for #6 Oregon to put up a big number on them again tonight.
If you want better odds you could take the 1st half Oregon total at 20.5 which they have covered in each of their last 2 games and Mich St allowed 24 to Ohio St last week.