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VIP Picks 11/1/23

Back to back L’s in the World Series sucks, bullpen games are always question marks but the over was the right play in that game last night. We also missed our NBA parlay by Kawhi so it was a 1-2 Tuesday. On to Wednesday.


Cross Sport:

7:00 EST

Parlay

Bucks ML / Celtics ML (-143)

  • It feels like we might play this 2 teamer A LOT this season with two of the top teams in the league.

  • The Bucks will be on the road going up against the Raptors who have lost 3 straight.

  • The Raptors offense hasn’t shown anything impressive to this point scoring 91, 107, & 103 in an overtime game. It feels like it will be tough for them to keep up with the Bucks who have scored 122, 110, & 118.

  • The Celtics will be back in action after 108 through 3 quarters their last game before pulling the starters. They will host the Pacers tonight who have allowed 112, 113, & 120 so the Celtics should be able to score at will.

  • The Celtics defense has also been pretty good to this point with Porzingis protecting the rim down low but also Holiday and White have been making gritty plays forcing turnovers already.

  • The Pacers have 2 of their top 3 scorers listed as Game Time Decisions tonight so they may not be at full strength tonight whether those guys play or not which will make it extremely difficult for them to beat the Celtics who will take another step forward tonight in another game played together.


We are 1-3 on these this season and I will keep a close eye on them. I think the goal should be 3 players at the max with targeted odds between -110 and -150. That seems like a safe space.

7:30 EST

Alt Points Line Parlay

Kristaps Porzingis 15+ / DeMar DeRozen 15+ / LeBron James 15+ (-128)

  • Porzingis has gone for 15+ in all 3 games to this point and his minutes were down on Monday because the game was a blowout. That will be a risk in just about every Celtics game this season but they will play the Pacers tonight who play at a high pace so I expect a lot of scoring. The Celtics are big favorites but I think the Pacers can keep it close enough for Porzingis to play into the 4th quarter which should allow him to get his 15+ for the 4th straight game.

  • DeMar DeRozan is looking to achieve a milestone tonight and that’s to pass Larry Bird on the All Time NBA scoring list. He needs 14 points to pass him and he’s averaged 23.3 ppg this season.

  • LeBron James will take on the cross town rivals tonight with Lakers vs Clippers on ESPN. He’s averaging 22 ppg and he should be able to get 15+ for us.


8:00 EST

Nuggets (-130)

  • The Nuggets come in a perfect 4-0 on the season and they’ve picked up right where they left off. 2-0 at home, 2-0 on the road, good defense, ball movement creating offense where everyone if involved, and an efficient offense averaging 115 per game through 4 games.

  • The TWolves are 2-2 and they are coming off of an ugly loss to the Hawks where they gave up 127 points.

  • The Nuggets went 4-1 against the TWolves in the playoffs last season.

  • The Nuggets are the better team, both teams had yesterday off, and the Nuggets are healthy. All signs point to take the Nuggets to win this game.


MLB:

8:03 EST

Rangers (Eovaldi) (-110)

  • The series is in a weird spot. Can the Rangers really win their 3rd straight in Arizona tonight?

  • I think so since they are 10-0 in road playoff games.

  • Missing Garcia didn’t slow down the offense from scoring 11 runs last night.

  • There’s no one else the Rangers would prefer to have on the mound tonight than Eovaldi despite getting touched up in Game 1, they still got the win. They are 5-0 with him on the mound this Postseason. Eovaldi has a 3.52 ERA in those starts. Eovaldi is also 3-0 in clinch games with a 1.33 ERA and a 24-0 strikeout to walk ratio. Big. Game. Nate.

  • Zac Gallen will pitch for the DBacks and they have lost his last 3 starts. He’s allowed 12 earned runs in those 3 starts.

  • Let’s take the Rangers to close out the series and win their first ever World Series tonight.

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