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VIP Picks 11/11/23


3-0! 3-0! 3-0! for +4 units last night was a massive Friday Night for us! Let's keep it rolling today! Early action is below and there will be additional plays added by 5 pm est. Let's stay hot!


2:00 EST

Parlay

Memphis ML / Florida St ML / Texas ML (-148)

  • The weekly double digit moneyline parlay is only 3 teams this week, we usually have 4 or 5 so I like the looks of this one.

  • Memphis will go on the road to take on 3-6 Charlotte and Memphis has gone 3-0 on the road this season. Memphis has been cooking on offense scoring 40+ in 3 straight games and Charlotte hasn’t scored 30+ in any games in regulation this season.

  • Florida St is still perfect at 9-0 and ranked #4. They will face in state rival Miami. Miami started the season strong vs weak competition but has folded as the competition has been turned up in ACC play. Miami scored 6 points last week. Miami is 0-2 in conference road games and it’s been ugly. I think this one could get ugly for them too and #4 FSU should stay perfect.

  • Texas is 8-1 and coming in ranked 7th while TCU has struggled to a 4-5 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. One common opponent check is that Texas beat K St last week and TCU lost to K St a couple weeks ago 41-3. Texas is the better team on both sides of the ball and they have more to play for being in the hunt for the College Football Playoff.


3:30 EST

Oklahoma St (-2.5)

  • OK St is coming off of a huge win against #9 rival Oklahoma & come in on a 5 game winning streak

  • UCF has lost 4 of their last 5 & we have some common opponent results that tilt this one in the favor of OK St:

    • UCF lost to WVU 41-28 & OK St beat WVU 48-34

    • UCF lost to KU 51-22 & OK St beat KU 39-32

    • UCF lost to K St 44-31 & OK St beat K St 29-21

    • UCF barely snuck by Cinci by 2 points & OK St beat Cinci 45-13

    • UCF lost to Oklahoma by 2 points & OK St beat Oklahoma by 3

  • The “bounce house” has been known as a tough place to play but UCF is just 2-2 at home this season.

  • Major factors in this game will be UCF’s second to worst rushing defense allowing 228 rushing yards per game and UCF’s 127 out of 133 ranked 3rd down defense. OK St RB Ollie Gordon II has ran for 138, 271, & 282 in his last 3 games so look for a big game from him.

  • Oklahoma should cover on the road today.


3:30 EST

Teaser 7 Pt

Washington (-1.5) / Georgia (-3.5)

  • Washington won’t have an easy one so to say vs #18 Utah but the Utes did lose their only contest vs a Top 10 team 35-6. Utah has been held to 7 points or less in 2 of their last 3 games against ranked opponents

  • It’s all about the offense for Washington and QB Michael Penix Jr who leads the Nation in passing yards with 3,201 on the season. Utah has been tough on defense at times this season but they aren’t going to completely shut this offense down. Penix Jr should be able to lead the Huskies to a win at home.

  • Then we have #2 Georgia at home who probably feel like they have something to prove after slipping from #1 to #2 in the rankings. They host Ole Miss who have gone 1-1 vs ranked SEC opponents. 0-1 on the road losing by 14 to Bama.

  • The difference in this game will be Georgia’s ability to play defense and Ole Miss’ lack of ability to play defense. I wish we could get this number below -3 but I do feel pretty good about Georgia by at least a touchdown at home.



ADDED 3:00 EST

Cross Sport:

7:00 EST

Celtics ML / Bruins ML (-114)

  • You all knew it was coming, if you looked at the board and saw these matchups tonight.

  • The Celtics will be on the second night of a back to back which may be a concern to some but they went 10-3 in those games last year

  • They snapped out of their offensive funk last night by scoring 121 in a double digit win against the Nets

  • The Raptors come to town tonight who the Celtics went 4-0 against last season

  • Boston is 3-0 at home with point totals of 119, 155, & 121. Look for a big night offensively which leads to a win.

  • The 11-1-1 Bruins will be on the road against the Canadiens who have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

  • Jeremy Swayman is the expected goaltender for the Bruins and he comes in 6-0 with a 1.49 GA/G

  • Samuel Montembeault is in net for Montreal & he’s got a 3.06 GA/G. He went 0-2 and allowed 8 goals against the Bruins last season. 


10:30 EST

Team Total

USC Over (30.5)

  • USC has lost 3 of their last 4 games and Caleb Williams was crying after the game last week but they have still scored 31+ points in 9 of their 10 games this season

  • The Oregon defense is one of the stronger defenses they will face but Oregon allowed 36 to Washington which is a high powered offense like this USC offense.

  • The reason USC has been losing is their defense and Oregon’s offense led by Bo Nix should light them up which should just give Caleb Williams and the USC offense more chances to score.

  • I love USC over 30.5 tonight in what should be an absolute shoot out on Fox

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