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VIP Picks 11/13/23

4-1 on the straight plays yesterday for a huge day to end the week! A solid 9-3 run to finish the week helped us have one of the better weeks we’ve had in a while for +5.48 units. Let’s keep that NFL heater going tonight!

Cross Sport:

7:30 EST


Celtics ML / Bills ML (-164) - 💪

  • The Celtics already beat the Knicks in the first game of the season 108-104 but it was a sloppy game for the Cs. That game was in New York and tonight will be at home where they are 4-0 with 3 of those 4 coming by double digits.

  • The Knicks usually play the Celtics tough so I wouldn’t bet on the spread of -9.5 here but let’s take the Celtics to get the win at home as part of this moneyline parlay.

  • The Bills will be home where they are 4-1 on the season and it’s a game they should win against the Broncos as long as Josh Allen doesn’t have the “flu” like Mahomes did against the Broncos a couple weeks ago.

  • I expect Buffalo’s balanced offense to have success on the ground and through the air in this one and that should be enough to get the W.

  • A lot of people are focusing on the Broncos win against the Chiefs their last time out but there were so many things that had to go their way to win that game. The stars aren’t going to align for the Broncos in Buffalo tonight.


8:15 EST

Player Prop

James Cook Rushing Yards Over (57.5)

  • We have to pick on the Broncos rush defense that ranks dead last in the league allowing 154 rushing yards per game.

  • An interesting trend is that Cook has been a big part of the offense for the Bills in games that they have won. Cook has gone over 57.5 in 4 of the 5 games that the Bills have won. He’s gone under 57.5 rushing yards in all 4 of the games that they have lost. Another key number for him is 14 carries and that’s right where the books have his prop for attempts tonight.

  • Look for him to break off a couple of chunk plays against the Broncos defense as well that has allowed 15+ yard rushing plays in 7 straight games.

8:15 EST

Same Game Parlay

Stefon Diggs Alt Receiving Yards 70+ / Jerry Jeudy Alt Receiving Yards 40+ (-120)

  • Diggs has gone for 70+ receiving yards in 7 of his 9 games and he’s averaging 92.6 receiving yards per game this season.

  • The Broncos pass defense has been pretty bad all season allowing 251.8 yards per game so don’t expect them to slow down Diggs tonight.

  • Jerry Jeudy has had 40+ receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games. He’s also had single catches of 18+ yards in 5 of those 6 games so he’s making big plays and could cover this number with just 1 or 2 receptions. 

  • The Bills pass defense has been middle of the pack this season and they have some injuries in the secondary including safety Micah Hyde.


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