Let’s acknowledge the good - the Rangers won the World Series last night to close out another phenomenal MLB Postseason for us. We finished 23-10 on straight plays in the playoffs and the Rangers were by far the most profitable for us going 7-0 in the games we bet on them and cashing in at even money odds or better in 5 of those 7 games. Some of you guys called me crazy when we took them on the road in Games 1 & 2 of the Wild Card series but we were all over it. 3-2 in the World Series for our 5th winning World Series in the last 6 and we have hit at 65% during that stretch. Now the ugly, the NBA plays last night. Porzingis cost us the alt line parlay by a missed layup and I was watching the game and he literally front rimmed a finger roll. The Nuggets and Bucks some how got smoked, made no sense. Chasing on the week not but it’s only Thursday and Thursdays have been good to us over the last month so let’s keep it going and set up the weekend!
The Maple Leafs have lost back to back games coming into tonight and they’ve gone through a grueling stretch of 5 road games, 1 home game, now back on the road for their 6th in their last 7 overall.
The Bruins have been nearly perfect to this point going 8-0-1 with that 1 overtime loss coming due to giving up 2 goals in the final 2 minutes.
Ilya Samsonov is projected to be in net for the Leafs tonight and he comes in with a 3.99 GA/G and he went 1-2 vs the Bruins last year and allowed 5 goals in one of those games.
It doesn’t matter who’s in net for the Bruins, both Ullmark and Swayman have been light out with 1.77 and 1.26 GA/G.
These two teams always play each other tightly but Boston has won the last 3 and the home team has won 4 of the last 5 in the series.
Titans / Steelers Under (37)
This game is looking to be a gritty defensive battle with one young QB who is battling an injury and the other who is making his first career road start on a short week in a hostile environment.
Both offenses rank towards the bottom of the league already averaging 16.1 and 18.9 points per game this season.
Thursday Night Unders below 40 are 17-4 (81%) since 2010.
It’s a short week for both of these offenses and they will struggle against the opposing defenses.
This one has all the makings of a classic Thursday Night stinker so let’s cash in on the under.
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Over (70.5)
As much as I don’t think there will be a lot of scoring in this game, I expect both teams to run the ball. Especially the Titans with Will Levis making his first ever road.
The Steelers have been susceptible to the run this season allowing 137 rushing yards per game.
King Henry is coming off of a 101 yard game with 22 carries on Sunday and he’s gone over 70.5 rushing yards 3 of his last 4 with 101, 97, & 122.
Look for the Titans to pound the run game with Henry all night and that should lead to 70+ rushing yards for him.
Late Night Parlay
Suns ML / Canucks ML (-119)
The Suns will face the Spurs for the 2nd straight game and they will be looking for revenge after the Spurs had a miraculous turn of events in the final seconds to somehow get the win after being down as much as 20 points.
The Suns could be getting Booker back tonight so that will go a long way but even without him they were up 20. Don’t expect two big collapses in a row for the Suns and Kevin Durant who missed the final shot with a chance to win the other night.
The Canucks come in at 6-2-1 and they will be facing the Sharks who have yet to win a game this season going 0-8-1.
The Sharks have the league worst goal differential at -25 with 8 of their 9 losses coming by multiple goals.
The Canucks have been great on offense averaging 4 goals per game so they should continue to have success against this bad Sharks team.
-119 is great value for this parlay tonight.