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VIP Picks 11/20/23

We closed out the BIG one yesterday and it was a BIG week for us! We are up 19 units in November depending on how much you guys bet on that BIG parlay over the weekend but a lot of you shared your tickets with me and I was happy to see the results ;) Let’s keep it going this week!


NFL:

I realize this is a huge game and a lot of you probably want more action on it but I'm taking this one play that I'm extremely confident in.

8:15 EST

Same Game Parlay

D’Andre Swift Rushing Yards 40+ / Travis Kelce Receiving Yards 50+ (-142)

  • It’s all about the matchup here and the Chiefs have been good against the pass but have struggled stopping the run this season.

  • Swift has ran for 40+ yards in 7 of his last 8 games

  • On the flip side, it’s the opposite, the Eagles have shut down the run but have really struggled against the pass.

  • Kelce has had 50+ receiving yards 6 of his last 7 games.

  • The Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce relationship had no influence on me putting Swift and Kelce in a same game parlay tonight but the numbers really do make it look like a love story so I’ll say yes.


NBA:

7:00 EST

Parlay

Bucks ML / Nuggets ML / Celtics ML (-105)

  • We’ve got 3 teams favored by 9-10 points tonight and I know it’s the NBA and weird shit happens frequently throughout the regular season but this one feels pretty good at -105 odds.

  • The Bucks come in on a 4 game winning streak and they’ve scored 132, 130, 128, & 118 in those games. The Wizards are 2-10 and they rank 3rd worst defensively so the Bucks should run away with this one.

  • The Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 and will be without Jamal Murray BUT they are going up against the 2-12 Pistons who are dealing with injuries. 

  • The 11-2 Celtics are on the second night of a back to back and will be without Derrick White and Al Horford but they are still so much better than the 3-9 Hornets. Tatum, Brown, & Porzingis should carry the Cs to a win like they’ve done in a few games that have been “ugly” this season like last night. I think tonight is a blowout.


7:00 EST

Player Prop

Bilal Coulibaly Points Over (7.5) 

  • I’m giving the AI prop generator I built a chance at revenge tonight after we missed this same prop by 0.5 points and a missed shot at the buzzer by Bilal the other night.

  • Even with the 6 point performance the other night, he’s still averaging 11.2 over his last 5 and 9.5 over he last 10.

  • He’s playing against the Bucks tonight and we have a MASSIVE over under set at 245.5 in this game so there’s going to be a ton of scoring in this one.

  • There’s value on Bilal going over 7.5 so let’s take it.


NHL:

10:00 EST

Canucks (-1.5)

  • The Canucks beat the Sharks 10-1 in the first meeting! Now they went 4 for 5 on the Power Play in that game which probably won’t happen again but -1.5 still looks pretty good for them.

  • Th Sharks have lost 14 of their 17 games this season and 13 of those losses have come by 2+ goals.

  • The Canucks have lost back to back games but they are off to a great start this season and the offense have been the best in the league at 4.2 goals per game which has led to a league best goal differential +30 this season.

  • Mackenzie Blackwood is in net for the Sharks and he’s coming in with an ugly 4.02 GA/G which is roughly double of the Canucks starting goalie’s 2.22.

  • Let’s go Canucks!

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