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VIP Picks 5/9/24

5-1 start to the week for +4.01 units and it feels fucking great! Let’s keep it going today without getting too greedy, just build on what we’ve got going this week.


7:00 EST

Alt Line Parlay

Jayson Tatum 20+ Pts / Evan Mobley 10+ Pts / Kyrie Irving 20+ Points (-128) 🥉

  • No one’s betting on Tatum’s points tonight because the media is making a huge deal about him not shooting good enough despite averaging a double double in the playoffs. I’ll take him to come out and get 20+ points tonight early so it won’t even matter if he comes out of the game early with a -13.5 spread in this one. Won’t be surprised to see 20+ in the first half for Tatum.

  • Evan Mobley for 10+ might seem like a random add to this parlay but he had 17 in Game 1 and had high percentage shots (dunks) all night going 8 for 12 (75%) from the field and also had 13 rebounds. I expect more of that tonight especially if the Celtics defense looks to blitz Mitchell. He’s hit 10+ points in 7 of his 8 playoff games this season and averaged 15 ppg in the regular season. 

  • Kyrie for 20+ seems solid with Luka dealing with a knee injury. Kyrie has scored 20+ in 6 of his 7 playoff games this season. Further more, the Mavs are down 0-1 in the series so they will be playing desperately tonight.


7:40 EST

Cardinals (Gray) (-130) 🥈

  • Both of these teams have been struggling each losing 4 of their last 5 games.

  • We like what we see with Sonny Gray on the mound for the Cardinals though, he comes in 4-1 with a 0.89 ERA and he already had a great start vs the Brewers this season where he pitched into the 7th inning and only allowed 2 runs.

  • The Cardinals lineup will face youngster Tobias Myers who has allowed 8 runs in his last 8 innings pitched and he’s allowed 4 homeruns in that same time span. The Brewers have lost all 3 games that he’s pitched this season.

  • Despite the losing in recent games, the Cardinals bullpen has actually been pretty solid. I trust they have Gray’s back tonight but I fully expect Gray to go deep in this game 6+ innings.


9:30 EST

1st Period

Avalanche / Stars Over (1.5) 🥇

  • These two teams have been playing high scoring games all season and all 5 of their head to head matchups have gone over 1.5 goals in the 1st period including Game 1 of this series on Tuesday.

  • The Stars scored 3 goals themselves in that game and then ended up losing 4-3 so look for them to come out even more motivated at home tonight.

  • 3 of their 5 head to head matchups have had 3 goals scored in the 1st period.

  • The Avs were the #1 ranked 1st period over in the regular season and the Stars were the 9th ranked.

  • Fanduel has this at -130 and it’s more like a -180 because it’s a 100% trend when these two teams are on the same ice together this season.


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