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VIP Picks 9/30/23

Not a Good Friday Night 0-2 with a push but it's on to Saturday and we have a full slate lined up!!

12:00 EST

Team Total

Arkansas Over (23.5)

  • Arkansas has gone over this number in all 4 of their games this season including 31 vs LSU last week

  • Also helpful is that the Arkansas defense has allowed 34 & 38 points the last two weeks so this game has potential to turn into a barn burner. Texas A&M is averaging 39.8 ppg and the more back and forth scoring in this one, the better!

  • Texas A&M had a good showing against Auburn last week but they allowed 48 to Miami a few weeks ago…48!

  • This Arkansas offense is led by KJ Jefferson who can make plays with his arm or legs. I think he will keep Arkansas in this game as underdogs just like he did against LSU last week and that should lead to Arkansas going over 23.5.

The weekly double digit moneyline parlay

3:30 EST

Texas ML / Oklahoma ML / Tennessee ML / Alabama ML / Washington ML (-123)

  • Some guys call this the cheap move but we’ve gone 4-0 on them and have hit +271, +101, -154 (5 unit), & -121 (2 unit). I’m here to make money & these are profitable.

  • #3 Texas will host #24 Kansas in what a lot of people think will be a high scoring game but Texas has such a massive advantage on defense that will allow them to win this game. Kansas hasn’t played anyone good and Texas knocked off #3 Bama in Tuscaloosa.

  • Oklahoma will host Iowa State who just won’t be able to keep up offensively. OU averages about 200 more total yards per game than ISU.

  • Tennessee will be hosting South Carolina in a game that I think could end up being close but in the end, Tennessee’s defense will get some stops that South Carolina won’t & we saw how vulnerable their O line was vs North Carolina so the Vols will be coming at Rattler making him uncomfortable all night.

  • Bama bounced back with a win against Ole Miss last week and they still won by two scores despite all of the mistakes they made including going -22 yards in 3 plays on a drive that started at the Ole Miss 1 yardline. Miss St got BLOWN out by LSU 41-14 a couple weeks ago, look for Saban’s team to use this as another get right game and correct the mistakes from last week.

  • Michael Penix Jr will lead Washington to victory, nothing else to say. 16 touchdowns & 1,636 yards in 4 games. Washington scores 49.8 points per game.

3:30 EST

Teaser 7.5 Point

Georgia (-7) / Michigan (-10)

  • Teasing 7.5 points on this one at -125 on Fanduel just to get to 7 and 10

  • Georgia will be on the road but they should take care of business against Auburn

  • Auburn played their first SEC opponent last week and lost by 17 to Texas A&M

  • Georgia comes in undefeated and have won by 10+ in each game.

  • If Texas A&M held Auburn to 10 points, there’s a good chance Georgia can shut them out.

  • Michigan will face Nebraska in what feels like a game that coule be ugly.

  • Both teams rely on the running game and long drives

  • Both defenses have been good against the run but Nebraska gave up 36 points to the only ranked opponent they played this year.

  • I trust #2 Michigan’s defense to hold up longer and allow them to pull away in the second half.

  • We will call this one the ol 1, 2 punch teaser since they are the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the Nation.

4:00 EST

Memphis (-148)

  • Memphis is coming off of their first loss of the season but they hung around until the end with a very good Missouri team

  • The Memphis offense should really go off against the Boise State defense who allowed San Diego St to score 31 last week

  • Boise St is allowing 294 passing yards per game so Memphis QB should turn in his 3rd 300+ passing yard game of the season vs them

  • On the flip side, the Memphis defense has been better than expected. Obviously last week was tough vs an SEC opponent but other than that they’ve been good. Boise St will look to run the ball and I think that gives Memphis an advantage to stack the box looking to stop the run

  • I think Memphis could pull away with this one but let’s just take the moneyline

6:00 EST

LSU (-142)

  • Two teams going in the opposite direction and LSU is the one going UP

  • LSU played a close one last week while Ole Miss lost by 2 scores to Bama

  • LSU’s offense is clicking (530 yards per game) and they should have a field day against the Ole Miss defense

  • Ole Miss struggled to run against Bama last week (56 yards) which makes me think they will turn one dimensional and be forced to throw the ball vs this LSU defense. That won’t end well for the Rebels.

  • The spread indicates this one will be close and if that’s the case, I trust LSU QB Jayden Daniels down the stretch more than Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart. We saw Daniels lead a game winning drive last week. I hope it doesn’t come to that tonight but if it does, we know Daniels can get it done.


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