top of page

Anytime TD Scorer Picks – Bills vs Dolphins (TNF)

  • Writer: Kof
    Kof
  • Sep 18
  • 2 min read

Thursday Night Football brings us a marquee AFC East clash: Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins. Both teams are coming in hot, but with different styles. Buffalo is 2-0, riding a productive ground game led by James Cook, while Miami is still trying to shake defensive leaks and get back into rhythm. Injuries, matchup history, and defensive vulnerabilities all set up nicely for certain players to find the end zone tonight.


Here are the top Anytime Touchdown Scorer picks for this game:


Anytime TD Scorer Picks – Bills vs Dolphins

James Cook (Bills RB) (-170)

Cook is looking locked in early this season. He exploded for 132 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns last week. Miami’s run defense is shaky — they’ve surrendered over 120 rushing yards in both games so far and are 25th in the league vs. the run. Buffalo’s offensive line is clearing lanes, and Cook has been abused through both ground work and short scoring opportunities. Expect him in the end zone tonight.


De’Von Achane (Dolphins RB) (+110)

Achane has lit the Bills up in his past matchups. Career vs Buffalo: 52 carries and 19 receptions for 467 yards and 6 touchdowns across 4 games. He’s been used in both rushing and passing game in recent weeks (which helps increase scoring chances). If the Dolphins are forced to mix things, Achane could sneak one in either with a rush near goal line or a short dump-off followed by good yards after catch.


Dalton Kincaid (Bills TE) (+280)

Kincaid has quietly been an endpoint on red zone targets, especially close to the goal line when Josh Allen looks for safe options. The Dolphins’ defense has allowed tight ends to make plays through the seams in zone coverage. Plus, when Cook is running well, defensive attention shifts, which opens up opportunities for Kincaid in those high leverage spots.


A parlay of all 3 would pay 12 to 1 tonight!



Additional Context & Trends

  • Game script matters: Buffalo is favored in this one and likely to feed the ground game if they establish a lead. That drives TD opportunities for Cook.

  • Matchup history: Bills have dominated recent meetings going 9-1 over their last 10 games against the Dolphins.

  • Props from models: KofSports model has James Cook projected in the rushing game with over 65.5 yards at high confidence tonight.


Conclusion

If you want a reliable Anytime Touchdown Scorer play, James Cook (-170) looks like the safest bet. He’s already in rhythm, has the matchup, and is due for goal-line work. De’Von Achane is your value upside, especially with his history vs Buffalo. Dalton Kincaid is more of a bonus play, but has strong red-zone appeal in this game.


These picks tip the scales in your favor when building parlays or bolstering a single-game card.

Anytime TD Scorer Picks – Bills vs Dolphins

 
 
bottom of page