Best MLB Player Props Today 6-27-25 – Jarren Duran 2+ Total Bases
- Kof
- Jun 27
- 2 min read
Welcome back to our daily Best MLB Player Props Today series for June 27, 2025. Today’s pick features Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran, who’s in a prime spot to smash his 2+ Total Bases prop against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Let’s dive into the matchup, historical trends, and why this prop is too good to pass up—even with a little juice.
Best MLB Player Prop Today 6-27-25
📌 Player: Jarren Duran
📌 Prop: 2+ Total Bases
📌 Odds: -125 (DraftKings Sportsbook) or -130 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Why We Love This Bet
1. Elite History vs. Jose Berrios
Jarren Duran has absolutely owned Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios throughout his career, especially at Fenway Park, here are his last 5 games vs Berrios at Fenway:
Date | Result |
4/7/25 | 2 for 3, 2 doubles, 1 walk |
8/26/24 | 3 for 4, 2 doubles, 1 HR |
8/5/23 | 0 for 4, but hard contact twice |
5/1/23 | 2 for 4, 1 HR |
8/24/22 | 1 for 4, 1 double |
He has a lifetime .476 average (10 for 21) with 5 doubles and 3 home runs off Berrios. The guy sees him like a beach ball.
2. Home Cooking Advantage
The Red Sox return to Fenway Park after a long West Coast road trip, which is great news for Duran:
Home Batting Average (2025): .294
Road Batting Average (2025): .220
He’s simply a different hitter at home, and getting back to Fenway’s hitter-friendly confines sets him up perfectly for this matchup.
Recent Home Consistency
Duran has recorded a hit in 7 of his last 10 home games, showing strong consistency in Boston. With his lifetime dominance against Berrios, this prop offers excellent value despite the juice.
Breakdown: Why This Prop Cashes
✅ Lifetime vs. Berrios: .476 avg, 5 doubles, 3 HR
✅ Home split advantage: +74 point bump at Fenway
✅ Recent form: Hits in 70% of last 10 home games
✅ Pitcher matchup: Berrios struggles with hard contact against Duran
When a hitter has this kind of history against a pitcher, you bet on history repeating itself.
Final Pick
Bet: Jarren Duran 2+ Total Bases (-125 DK / -130 FD) is our Best MLB Player Props today 6-27-25
Confidence Rating: ★★★★★
We’re paying a little juice, but when it’s backed by career-long domination, home splits, and current form, it’s worth every penny.
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