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Best MLB Player Props Today 6/29/25 – MLB Home Run Props Today 6/29/25

  • Writer: Kof
    Kof
  • Jun 29
  • 3 min read

Welcome back to our Best MLB Player Props Today series for June 29, 2025. Today, we’re targeting three powerful home run props with elite matchup data and trends to back them up.


If you’re looking to add a little ⚡firepower⚡ to your Sunday MLB betting card, these are the top home run props to consider.


MLB Home Run Props Today 6/29/25

Here are three players with prime matchups to leave the yard today:

1️⃣ Trevor Story (Red Sox) to Hit a Home Run (+380)

Why We Love This Prop:

  • Career vs Eric Lauer:Story is hitting .364 (8 for 22) with 3 career home runs off Lauer, showing he sees the lefty extremely well.

  • Fenway Factor:Today’s game is at Fenway Park, where Story’s pull power plays perfectly to the Green Monster and left field seats.

  • Recent Form:Story has homered twice in his last six games, and with his strong contact profile against Lauer, he’s primed to add another bomb today.


2️⃣ Gunnar Henderson (Orioles) to Hit a Home Run (+290)

Why We Love This Prop:

  • Career vs Taj Bradley:Henderson is 6 for 14 (.429) lifetime off Bradley with a homer already on his resume.

  • Ballpark Trends:The ball has been flying out of Camden Yards this weekend, with 44 runs scored in the last two games of this series. Conditions are ideal for power.

  • Recent Form:Henderson has been locked in all month, raising his OPS to .921, and his hard-hit rate sits in the top 10% of MLB hitters.


3️⃣ Eugenio Suarez to Hit a Home Run (+340)

Why We Love This Prop:

  • League Leader:Suarez is 4th in MLB with 25 home runs this season.

  • Due Factor:He’s gone four games without a homer after hitting at least one in each of the three games prior. He’s overdue, and his power profile remains consistent.

  • Matchup vs Cal Quantrill:Quantrill has allowed a homerun in 4 of his last 5 starts, and Suarez’s pull power is elite against Quantrill’s sinker-heavy approach.


Home Run Parlay Payout

If you’re feeling frisky, a parlay of all three home run props pays ~81 to 1 odds.

  • Trevor Story HR (+380)

  • Gunnar Henderson HR (+290)

  • Eugenio Suarez HR (+340)

While home run parlays are high-risk, these three each have elite matchup data, ballpark factors, and recent trendsbacking them up.


Stats Recap

Player

Matchup BA

HRs vs Pitcher

Recent Form

Trevor Story

.364 (8/22)

3 HRs

2 HRs in last 6 games

Gunnar Henderson

.429 (6/14)

1 HR

Top 10% hard-hit rate MLB

Eugenio Suarez

.353

N/A

25 HRs on season; due after 4-game HR drought


Final Pick – Best MLB Player Props Today

Bet:

✅ Trevor Story to hit a HR (+380)

✅ Gunnar Henderson to hit a HR (+290)

✅ Eugenio Suarez to hit a HR (+340)

🎯 Parlay Payout: ~81 to 1 odds


Why These Picks Have Value:

  • Strong historical matchups vs today’s pitchers

  • Ideal ballpark and weather conditions

  • Elite hard-hit profiles backing up power potential


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MLB Home Run Props Today 6/29/25


Let’s cash today’s home run props and finish the weekend strong. Stay tuned for tomorrow’s Best MLB Player Props to keep your winning streak rolling.

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