Best MLB Player Props Today 6/30/25 – Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Prop Picks
- Kof
- Jun 30
- 2 min read
Welcome back to our Best MLB Player Props Today series for June 30, 2025. Tonight, we’re locking in on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as he faces Yankees ace Carlos Rodón in a matchup that heavily favors Vlad despite Rodón’s strong recent form.
Best MLB Player Props Today 6/30/25: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ Total Bases
📌 Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Yankees
📌 Pitcher: Carlos Rodón (LHP)
📌 Prop Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Why We Love This Prop
1. Career Domination vs. Carlos Rodón
Career vs Rodón: Vlad Jr. is 8 for 12 (.667) lifetime against Rodón.
Extra-Base Hits: Those 8 hits include 3 doubles and a homerun, proving his ability to drive the ball for multiple bases.
Rodón is having a solid season, but certain hitters just see a pitcher perfectly, and Vlad Jr. is one of them in this matchup.
2. Splits vs. Lefties This Season
2025 vs LHP: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .343 against left-handed pitching this year, well above his .288 overall season average.
Slugging vs LHP: He’s slugging .587 against lefties, showing his consistent power split advantage.
3. Recent Form
Last 7 Games: Batting .321 with 2 doubles and a homerun which he hit yesterday.
Hard-Hit Rate: His hard-hit % has spiked to 54% over the last two weeks, indicating barrels and gap shots are coming consistently.
Why Over 1.5 Total Bases Is The Best Vlad Prop Today
While a hit prop is a safer floor play, we’re targeting over 1.5 total bases for plus money because:
✅ He’s averaging 2.2 total bases per game against Rodón.
✅ His splits and recent form support at least one double or two singles.
✅ Rodón will challenge him in the zone with his fastball-heavy approach, and Vlad has a career .390 avg vs fastballs 93+ mph.
Stats Recap
Prop | Stat |
Career vs Rodón | .667 (8 for 12), 3 doubles, HR |
2025 vs LHP | .343 avg, .587 SLG |
Recent Form | .321 avg last 7 games, 54% hard-hit rate |
Final Pick – Best MLB Player Prop Today
Bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Confidence Rating: ★★★★☆
Why This Bet Hits:
Elite career success vs Rodón
Strong splits vs lefties in 2025
Consistent hard contact and extra-base hit profile
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Let’s cash this Vladimir Guerrero Jr. total bases prop and kick off the week with a win. Stay tuned for tomorrow’s Best MLB Player Props to keep your bankroll growing daily.
