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Best MLB Player Props Today – MLB Home Run Props Today 7/1/25 (Dinger Tuesday)

  • Writer: Kof
    Kof
  • Jul 1
  • 2 min read

Welcome back to our Best MLB Player Props Today series for July 1, 2025. It’s Dinger Tuesday, and we’ve got two elite home run props featuring matchups backed by historical domination and power splits.


If you’re looking to cash in on long ball value today, these are the top MLB home run props today 7/1/25, here's what we are targeting.


MLB Home Run Props Today 7/1/25

Here are two hitters with powerful matchup data to leave the yard tonight:


1️⃣ Ozzie Albies to Hit a Home Run (+550 DraftKings)

Why We Love This Prop:

  • Career vs Tyler Anderson: Albies is 4 for 6 (.667) lifetime against Anderson with an insane 3 home runs in those 6 at-bats.

  • Power Split Edge: Albies crushes left-handed pitching, slugging .530 vs LHP this season, compared to .424 vs RHP.

  • Ballpark Factor: Tonight’s game is at Truist Park, where it will be hot and humid so the ball should carry. Only risk is thunderstorms washing this game out.


2️⃣ Paul Goldschmidt to Hit a Home Run (+400 DraftKings)

Why We Love This Prop:

  • Career vs Kevin Gausman: Goldschmidt is 7 for 13 (.539) lifetime against Gausman with a home run already on his resume.

  • Due Factor: Goldy has gone six games without a homerun, and with his consistent hard-hit rate (49% last two weeks), he’s due for positive regression against a pitcher he sees well.

  • Power Split: He’s slugging .447 against righties this season, and Gausman’s split-finger-heavy approach plays into Goldschmidt’s low-zone power sweet spot.


Safer Hit Parlay Option

If you want a more conservative yet profitable play today:

✅ Ozzie Albies to record a hit

✅ Paul Goldschmidt to record a hit


This hit parlay pays -111, giving you a solid near-even money payout while leveraging their elite contact history against today’s opposing starters.


Stats Recap

Player

Matchup BA

HRs vs Pitcher

Odds

Ozzie Albies

.667 (4 for 6)

3 HRs

+550

Paul Goldschmidt

.539 (7 for 13)

1 HR

+400

Final Picks – Best MLB Player Props Today

Home Run Props:

  • Ozzie Albies to hit a HR (+550)

  • Paul Goldschmidt to hit a HR (+400)

  • Homerun parlay of both is (+3150)


Safer Option:

  • Albies + Goldschmidt both to record a hit (-111)


Why These Bets Have Value:

  • Elite career matchup data

  • Consistent hard contact profiles

  • Strong splits vs today’s starting pitchers

  • Favorable park factors for power


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Let’s cash these Dinger Tuesday plays and keep building momentum all week long. Stay tuned for tomorrow’s Best MLB Player Props to keep stacking winning days.

MLB Home Run Props Today 7/1/25

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