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Best MLB Player Props Today 7/11/25 – Ketel Marte Total Bases & Hit Parlay Picks

  • Writer: Kof
    Kof
  • Jul 11
  • 2 min read

Welcome back to our Best MLB Player Props Today series for July 11, 2025. Today, we’re targeting Ketel Marte’s total bases prop plus an alternative hit parlay featuring Marte and Bo Bichette, backed by matchup data and recent trends to maximize value.


If you’re looking for smart, data-driven MLB props today, these are the top picks to lock in.


Today’s Featured Pick: Ketel Marte 2+ Total Bases


📌 Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

📌 Pitcher: Tyler Anderson (LHP)

📌 Prop Pick: Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130 Draftkings)


Why We Love This Prop

1. Elite Career Matchup vs Tyler Anderson

Ketel Marte has owned Anderson over a large sample size:

  • Career vs Anderson:

    .433 average (13 for 30) (ESPN Marte vs Anderson).

  • Extra-Base Hits:

    His 13 hits include multiple doubles and a homerun, showing consistent gap-to-gap power against Anderson’s pitch mix.


2. Recent Form

  • Back-to-Back Doubles:

    Marte has doubled in each of his last two games.

  • 4 of Last 6 Games:

    He’s recorded 2+ total bases in 4 of his last 6 starts, proving his contact is translating into extra bases recently.


3. Splits vs Lefties

  • 2025 vs LHP:

    Marte is hitting .331 with a .687 slugging percentage on the road this season (Fangraphs Marte Splits).


Why This Bet Has Value

  • Elite matchup data + strong recent form

  • Anderson’s vulnerability: He’s allowing a .296 opponent batting average this season (MLB.com Anderson Stats).

  • Marte’s contact quality and approach profile align perfectly against Anderson’s fastball-changeup heavy mix.


Alternative Hit Parlay Option

Hit Parlay:

Ketel Marte + Bo Bichette Each to Record a Hit


Bo Bichette vs Luis Severino

  • Career vs Severino:

    Bichette is hitting .333 against Severino (ESPN Bichette vs Severino).

  • Recent Form:

    Coming off a 3 for 3 game yesterday, and has a 6-game hitting streak, showing he’s locked in at the plate.


Why This Hit Parlay Has Value

  • Both hitters have elite matchup history

  • Both are in strong recent contact form

  • This is -180 but worth hammering!


Final Picks – Best MLB Player Props Today


🔴 Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130)

🔴 Alternative Hit Parlay: Ketel Marte hit + Bo Bichette hit (-180)


Confidence Rating: ★★★★☆


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Let’s cash today with Ketel Marte’s total bases prop and the hit parlay for a profitable start to the weekend. Stay tuned for tomorrow’s Best MLB Player Props to keep your winning streak alive.

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